Jump to content

HVSnowLover

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,952

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Looks pretty far NW but hard to tell without all the frames
  2. HVSnowLover
    If it scoots east too far south it will be congrats Baltimore and Philly in terms of big totals, still can't complain with 8-10 inches
  3. HVSnowLover
    Actually yesterdays 12Z run was more surpressed on the Euro. There is no hugger solution anyway in terms of our area, it's a hugger up until it reaches Southern NJ and then gets slammed east by confluence, 0Z Euro I am pretty sure was all snow for NYC Metro.
  4. HVSnowLover
    Models trending a bit less dynamic than yesterday, but look I can't complain if it's a 6-12 inch storm.
  5. HVSnowLover
    Yea a model like the gfs i believe is less likely to pick up on this kind of banding.
  6. HVSnowLover
    Yep even the 18Z GFS had the sharp turn east, it just took the low way further north into NJ before making the turn.
  7. HVSnowLover
    Happened a lot in 09-10 but in general while these storms favor the coast it's rare for these big storms to completely whiff north of I84.
  8. HVSnowLover
    This is becoming like a 10 hour event but it really dumps for a short period of time.
  9. HVSnowLover
    Yea it's bullish but honestly every single model run since yesterday has shown 6+ for NYC and immediate NW burbs.
  10. HVSnowLover
    Crushes NYC and way better than 0Z GFS for north of NYC
  11. HVSnowLover
    I still say what I said earlier, NYC Metro is a very good position, even with the extreme differences between 18Z and 0Z GFS they both crush NYC Metro.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Yes. I'm not usually that optimistic but it would actually take a lot to go wrong for the City not to do really well with this storm. Its the northern and southern areas of the subforum where some shifts will make big impacts.
  13. HVSnowLover
    0Z will probably be a better indicator of whether this is typical model waffling or an actual trend
  14. HVSnowLover
    Depends where you are, for northern parts of the subforum want a weaker high, for jersey shore want a stronger high. NYC Metro in a great spot with this.
  15. HVSnowLover
    Wow the confluence is strong on this run, very supressed for HV/SNE
  16. HVSnowLover
    The tucking may really hurt places like DC, ACY, and possibly even near Philly but the confluence is strong enough to shunt it east that this area should be fine precip type wise
  17. HVSnowLover
    Some models have a very sharp cutoff, how close is significant precip to the city?
  18. HVSnowLover
    Interesting Euro was first model to amp this up and now backed off but not that surprised either.
  19. HVSnowLover
    The airmass is great for this storm, also the track is almost perfect as is for most of the subforum to receive a significant snowfall. Really couldn't ask for a better setup, wish it wasn't still 4-5 days out.
  20. HVSnowLover
    Still skeptical of this one due to antecedant airmass, changeover to any accumulating snow would be dependent on heavy rates.
  21. HVSnowLover
    Yea if you go upstate lol but it's been a solid winter from the start north of I84 especially elevated and near I90, it has stayed crappy south of I84
  22. HVSnowLover
    Don't get caught up in 10:1 ratio maps, it's May it won't stick at the coast when the storm starts out at 50 but seeing any flakes on May 9th would be awesome
  23. HVSnowLover
    Upton now forecasting mixing in the city at the end of the storm.
  24. HVSnowLover
    More amped than 6Z, still SE of the other guidance and ends the city as snow
  25. HVSnowLover
    It's May, I'd be satisfied with any flakes falling
×
×
  • Create New...