HVSnowLover
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Everything posted by HVSnowLover
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Impossible to really predict at this time but I’d say maybe a few inches on the backend for NYC/LI. The main show will be the front end, the backend is more of a wild card.
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It’s been a while for sure. The cutter storm last year which actually was the most significant event of the winter for many is the only storm that comes to mind last winter where temps started in the 20s.
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That’s deflating especially coming off last winter but at least this event will produce way more snow than all of last winter did
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Euro has been very consistent for the most part.
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Don’t those Clown maps count sleet as snow?
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You can’t only go by one location to judge a models performance. Just because the gfs flipped nyc from the northern edge of the heavy snow to the southern edge so the totals haven’t changed much doesn’t mean it’s done well with the storm.
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Probably around 7-8 pm ish
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It actually changes LI to rain on the precip type maps so im not sure how it’s spitting out those totals on LI
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That’s true if that’s your point.
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No it hasn’t, it’s trended pretty far nw from where it was a day ago
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The precip type map has the rain/snow line over queens for several hours so makes sense verbatim but in actuality I dont know if it plays out that way
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I’ll give it a go Central Park 10 inches Jfk 6 inches lga 9 inches islip 5 inches hpn 13 inches Poughkeepsie 15 inches
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Low seems to be taking a more ENE track as opposed to the due east track once off shore which is pushing warmer air into LI and prolonging the duration of the event.
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Nam is only model really showing much sleet at our latitude.
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RGEM definitely Improved, no prolonged dry slot. Still flips LI to rain.
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Thats a pretty giant improvement actually
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Verbatim it's showing sleet for about 3 hours in the city
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The best dynamics still go north of the city but a huge improvement over the last two runs
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I doubt rain makes it to southern westchester, sleet definitely may.
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Surface temps may be a big difference too it’s still early so I could see places right along the Atlantic warming into the mid 30s or so. If it’s heavy snow it doesn’t matter but when precip is lighter it becomes a bigger deal.
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It’s extreme, has it ever been that drastic before?
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It’s not so much back end snow as snow after a dry slot. Big difference trying to get a true rain to snow event on the coast vs this kind of storm
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Upton holding steady pretty much for the city on NW