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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Climo in the sense lack of cold air in place.
  2. HVSnowLover
    Nam is warmer again.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Maybe although I could see Harriman area doing well with this storm and they are south of I84.
  4. HVSnowLover
    Agree I’m also thinking 1-2 inches on cars and grass in those areas which agree is a gift.
  5. HVSnowLover
    Yea the earlier in the day it comes in the better chance.
  6. HVSnowLover
    Euro has some accumulating snow for Bronx and eastern LI but I’m gonna go with gut feeling and climo and still think it’s white rain
  7. HVSnowLover
    My gut feeling too but depends on surface at start of storm and how intense precip comes in
  8. HVSnowLover
    I think it’s a miss or snow.
  9. HVSnowLover
    It looked worse earlier in the week. Now it doesn’t look too bad.
  10. HVSnowLover
    Yea it’s pretty solid all snow event up there at this point. The iffy areas look like Westchester, Rockland and NE NJ. Depending on what model depends if it’s mostly rain vs a few inches of wet snow. Tough call because I think in this setup the rain/snow line won’t move that much.
  11. HVSnowLover
    Yea I don’t buy hpn getting 4.7 inches in this setup but would be nice lol
  12. HVSnowLover
    RGEM looks decent
  13. HVSnowLover
    Agree someone there will get crushed but possibly some elevated areas of this subforum may get 8 inches or so
  14. HVSnowLover
    Don't unfortunately but it's about .5-.6 qpf for most of the region, temps never go above freezing in your area so would think that's a solid 3-6 inches at least, possibly more.
  15. HVSnowLover
    Precip type maps are snow to rain for NYC on the NAM. All rain for LI. Rain/Snow line makes it to about the famous I287 dividing line at the warmest point. Decent run. It's 34 at Central Park during the front end thump, not awful actually
  16. HVSnowLover
    Agree but 925 temps and surface temps will determine rain vs snow
  17. HVSnowLover
    Maybe. We have to see more layers than just 850s
  18. HVSnowLover
    6Z NAM is warmer again, pushes the snow line back well inland.
  19. HVSnowLover
    The icing did seem to hang on pretty long inland last night. It’s also still in the 30s in the city so colder than modeled.
  20. HVSnowLover
    RGEM is basically 6-12 inches for the whole subforum nw of I287. Probably too over juiced. But if you cut it in half 3-6 is possible.
  21. HVSnowLover
    Usually these setups favor NE and possibly eastern LI but right now I’d say a light to moderate snow event inland with rain at the coast due to precip being too light to overcome marginal boundary layer. Big snowstorm potential for NE with this as always it seems.
  22. HVSnowLover
    Definitely trending colder though at the surface, even immediate nw burbs are now 1-3 inches snow depth
  23. HVSnowLover
    Precip types are showing rain for nyc/LI verbatim.
  24. HVSnowLover
    Raining now
  25. HVSnowLover
    Good point
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