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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. 12Z Euro looks better (seems the 12Z consensus is moving back toward at least a 1-3 inch event)
  2. Sometimes the weak ones come through more than the powerhouses though
  3. Not that I trust the Ukmet that much but what precip type is it showing?
  4. Focusing on a different system now so this is becoming a snow threat nyc on north for Tue afternoon-Tuesday night
  5. Not a total cave but not the trend you want to see. I’m not too interested until Euro shows anything interesting.
  6. Gfs is only model that loves this storm, cmc I heard came in weaker. We’ll see models probably will struggle to hone in until first event is completely sorted out
  7. So close and yet so far, we usually know how there things end which is painful on the northern edge but might be congrats up to NJ Coast/LI
  8. Agree I’m worried this is turning into 1-3 flakes instead of inches
  9. Once I saw euro trend bad I had a bad feeling about this. I won’t buy into the late week storm unless euro is on board.
  10. NAM has nothing for nyc/LI and north of NYC
  11. There are hints of some banding from central NYS to the western Catskills so definitely possible
  12. Agree it’s a shredded mess at this point, at this point 1-2 inches would be a win. My focus is now on the late week storm although not that optimistic for our area with that either.
  13. I wouldn’t put too much stock in this given recent trends on other models. With that said if this storm being flatter allows the next one to be stronger and more NW I’d take that trade off
  14. Yea for now it’s a bit too far SE but obviously bears close watching
  15. Yea improved over previous runs, that northern cutoff very sharp
  16. This trended today more toward a minor event but still potential for a moderate event
  17. Low dew points at least means temp in the 20s so whatever falls sticks
  18. Dry and further south, looks like all models except gfs trended south today
  19. I mean as I said yesterday 1-3 inches is something
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