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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Yea pretty unusual for NJ coast to be raining with a 982 low in January. It is the GFS but we've also seen odd things the last two winters.
  2. HVSnowLover
    Raining in NJ but snowing on Virginia Beach. Nice Dynamics down south.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Yep GFS caved. Precip barely into NJ this run.
  4. HVSnowLover
    Guess ill take my 1-2 inches the gfs is showing. Congrats to interior portions of the HV and the Catskills (that is the best chance of 3+)
  5. HVSnowLover
    Our biggest snowfall last year was a cutter LOL. Weak Cutters with a strong high in place for CAD are not the worst setups
  6. HVSnowLover
    Lack of precip hurts temps too because column won’t cool.
  7. HVSnowLover
    I’m still more worried about lack of qpf then temps but the combination is gonna make it hard for nyc, light snow or mix at 33-35 is basically a non event for nyc metro.
  8. HVSnowLover
    Congrats Virginia twice this week?
  9. HVSnowLover
    Looks like we may go 0/2 with the two threats this week (speaking for nyc metro)
  10. HVSnowLover
    Yea I’m worried about the north trend turning this into a rain/slop event at this point.
  11. HVSnowLover
    I use Kuchera because don’t trust 10:1 especially on light precip in the city but yes cmc looks decent
  12. HVSnowLover
    Depends how you view it, understanding this is a bowling ball system and not a true coastal it’s not surprising.
  13. HVSnowLover
    0z gfs came a little south, absolute monster down to 969 in the Atlantic but nothing for this subforum
  14. HVSnowLover
    0z gfs colder and back to snow for nyc metro, still light precipitation cmc similar consensus right now leaning toward 1-3 for nyc with a bit more north and west
  15. HVSnowLover
    3-6 inches this run for Sussex, Orange and Ulster but next run will probably look different
  16. HVSnowLover
    Yea I don’t think it’s being written off completely but I think people would become interested if any model other than the gfs was even showing it this close.
  17. HVSnowLover
    It depends how far north the track of that second low is. Gfs might be too warm but it’s also a possible solution.
  18. HVSnowLover
    Looks like a lot of rain for DC to start but once it bombs out the rain/snow line really crashes, very dynamic storm
  19. HVSnowLover
    If only it went NE instead of East, even ENE wed probably get a few inches but due east will shunt the precip away.
  20. HVSnowLover
    Gfs about 1-2 inches for nyc, the good stuff still stays south of MD/PA border
  21. HVSnowLover
    18z Gfs now rain for nyc/LI. I know some on here warned of this possibility. I also know it’s just the 18z gfs.
  22. HVSnowLover
    My prediction is it misses southeast but would watch closely on LI or the Jersey Coast
  23. HVSnowLover
    I’ll take the snow Tuesday and the other one can hit DC, they haven’t had one in ages. That’s not a signal for a significant NYC storm with the setup in place.
  24. HVSnowLover
    Euro is way stronger and west than it's previous runs but still a miss on Thursday.
  25. HVSnowLover
    0Z runs were trending toward snow showers so I'll take the 1-3 inch event
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