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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    LOL we basically used the same terminology in reverse. Meaningless vs real
  2. HVSnowLover
    Estimate midnight Sunday in terms of real snow arriving
  3. HVSnowLover
    Depends what model you go by and exactly where in NYC area
  4. HVSnowLover
    Other than NAM every model still has The highest totals I80 southward. Let’s see what today’s brings
  5. HVSnowLover
    I expect NAM to tick SE today. If it holds today it may be legitimately on to something. I’ve noticed if the NAM is consistent it’s often on to something and if it changes run to run it has no clue.
  6. HVSnowLover
    It’s also not quite a December 2020 redux. We aren’t seeing 30 inch totals showing up to I90 which is always a red flag for the coast. The main show so to speak is still Southern PA to around NYC in terms of the frontogenisis mega band. Inland would get long duration light to moderate snow.
  7. HVSnowLover
    Frustrating to never know which way you want it to trend lol. Now I want no trends, stay put lol
  8. HVSnowLover
    The overnight runs were not a good trend for LI but that front end thump means business, this is a foot plus before any mixing/dryslot. Hope the nw trend stops though as any further NW and it’s December all over again with long dry slot and mixing for a lot of us.
  9. HVSnowLover
    Should be colder, cold airmass and low dewpoints. There will be warming eventually but seems to be after most of the precip is done.
  10. HVSnowLover
    A little similar to the December storm although this front end band looks even more lethal and as opposed to totally shutting off precip or change to sleet even in the semi dry slot it still seems like light snow for the metro area.
  11. HVSnowLover
    While I think the cmc run for NE is ridiculous models do seem to be coming into better agreement of a jackpot band somewhere between Philly and NYC
  12. HVSnowLover
    Cmc is on its own planet right now it has Boston changing to heavy rain and snow to the Canadian border
  13. HVSnowLover
    Cmc is way NW
  14. HVSnowLover
    Gfs ticked a bit north and wetter
  15. HVSnowLover
    I’m open to feedback. What part is wrong?
  16. HVSnowLover
    As I predicted it ends up noticeably south of NAM but yes wow this storm has potential to produce some huge totals for whoever gets the jackpot
  17. HVSnowLover
    The NAM is really cold too, nyc is upper 20s most of the storm
  18. HVSnowLover
    Another model that I wouldnt trust at this range but the rgem at hour 48 is noticeably south of the nam at 48
  19. HVSnowLover
    Not yet
  20. HVSnowLover
    Yep the NAM gets it’s done L yep NAM gets it done what a bomb
  21. HVSnowLover
    The air north of nyc is so dry with this but enough of an east wind will eventually overcome it I think south of I84
  22. HVSnowLover
    NAM probably gonna be way north although I don’t bother taking it seriously after 60 hours
  23. HVSnowLover
    Seems like a good call right now. Hope the 0z runs tick a bit nw won’t take much to get nyc into the 10+ zone
  24. HVSnowLover
    I don’t remember the last time there’s been an all snow event in a major storm anywhere south of I287. Even December storm mixed. Maybe March 2018?
  25. HVSnowLover
    Normally a NNE wind is better than E wind during coastal but in this case that’s not the case.
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