
HVSnowLover
Members-
Posts
2,952 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by HVSnowLover
-
With 30 inches being shown someone next to that band will get less but the models still haven’t totally nailed down where the best banding is but have been consistent highest totals somewhere in PA to NJ
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
I think every model is a monster at this point lol
- 2,426 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Good ratios I’m still skeptical on a Miller B the heavy banding makes it north of I84 but a very long duration snow event up there
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Yes LI looks to start snowing first and get massive rates which is probably why they get similar totals even if they changeover first
- 2,426 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Love epic weather battles in this case strong east wind pounding into dry artic air.
- 2,426 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Very dry air going to take a while to saturate atmosphere north of central NJ
- 2,426 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
I get what he’s saying realistically it’s hard to get a over a foot from one giant band but not impossible. Two factors I think would increase probability of over a foot which would be getting some accumulation tonight from overrunning before the main show and if there is any accumulation on the backend.
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
It’s definitely possible. Right now temps are forecasted to reach mid to upper 30s for nyc and LI tomorrow night but I can tell that’s based off euro track. If this slides east it will be much colder
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Possibly in this setup although I expect a sharp cutoff somewhere along the Jersey coast probably near Toms River
- 2,426 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Agree longitude in this setup especially matters more than latitude.
- 2,426 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Agree it’s hard to see LI not mixing on a prolonged east wind, euro even has mixing NW of the city during the dry slot. It’s possible as many are saying the models shift back east a bit today which would then move the mix line further east. Again it’s inconsequential because you wouldn’t be accumulating much in a dry slot anyway.
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
It is almost definitely going to mix for many but it’s inconsequential mixing because the mixing occurs during the dry slot.
- 2,426 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Just looks weird all around. Ukie has not been good with this storm so to me it’s a toss
- 2,426 replies
-
- 2
-
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Not surprised cmc looks similar to rgem
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Agree some nice overrunning tomorrow for that region but they mostly will miss out on the coastal
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Totals seem similar for nyc and LI even with some models showing LI changing to rain
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
So every 0z model so far has 12+ for NYC
- 2,426 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Usually when models start spitting out these type numbers there’s something to it. I’m not saying 4 feet but someone in PA or NJ I could see 2-3 feet.
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
That’s on 10:1 ratios I’d love to see the kuchera maps on rgem for kicks and giggles since I’m sure ratios will be higher in PA than 10:1
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
LOL I’m not quite buying the 4 foot totals though in eastern PA
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
2 runs so not consistent yet but I’d be interested to see if other models tonight trend toward NAM or hold serve
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Definitely came west but it’s minor difference from 18z
- 2,426 replies
-
- heavy snow
- ice pellets
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with: