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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    With 30 inches being shown someone next to that band will get less but the models still haven’t totally nailed down where the best banding is but have been consistent highest totals somewhere in PA to NJ
  2. HVSnowLover
    I think every model is a monster at this point lol
  3. HVSnowLover
    Going to be a lot of virga today
  4. HVSnowLover
    Good ratios I’m still skeptical on a Miller B the heavy banding makes it north of I84 but a very long duration snow event up there
  5. HVSnowLover
    Yes LI looks to start snowing first and get massive rates which is probably why they get similar totals even if they changeover first
  6. HVSnowLover
    Love epic weather battles in this case strong east wind pounding into dry artic air.
  7. HVSnowLover
    Very dry air going to take a while to saturate atmosphere north of central NJ
  8. HVSnowLover
    I get what he’s saying realistically it’s hard to get a over a foot from one giant band but not impossible. Two factors I think would increase probability of over a foot which would be getting some accumulation tonight from overrunning before the main show and if there is any accumulation on the backend.
  9. HVSnowLover
    It’s definitely possible. Right now temps are forecasted to reach mid to upper 30s for nyc and LI tomorrow night but I can tell that’s based off euro track. If this slides east it will be much colder
  10. HVSnowLover
    Possibly in this setup although I expect a sharp cutoff somewhere along the Jersey coast probably near Toms River
  11. HVSnowLover
    Agree longitude in this setup especially matters more than latitude.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Agree it’s hard to see LI not mixing on a prolonged east wind, euro even has mixing NW of the city during the dry slot. It’s possible as many are saying the models shift back east a bit today which would then move the mix line further east. Again it’s inconsequential because you wouldn’t be accumulating much in a dry slot anyway.
  13. HVSnowLover
    It is almost definitely going to mix for many but it’s inconsequential mixing because the mixing occurs during the dry slot.
  14. HVSnowLover
    Just looks weird all around. Ukie has not been good with this storm so to me it’s a toss
  15. HVSnowLover
    Not surprised cmc looks similar to rgem
  16. HVSnowLover
    Agree some nice overrunning tomorrow for that region but they mostly will miss out on the coastal
  17. HVSnowLover
    Totals seem similar for nyc and LI even with some models showing LI changing to rain
  18. HVSnowLover
    So every 0z model so far has 12+ for NYC
  19. HVSnowLover
    Usually when models start spitting out these type numbers there’s something to it. I’m not saying 4 feet but someone in PA or NJ I could see 2-3 feet.
  20. HVSnowLover
    Who’s headed to Allentown?
  21. HVSnowLover
    That’s on 10:1 ratios I’d love to see the kuchera maps on rgem for kicks and giggles since I’m sure ratios will be higher in PA than 10:1
  22. HVSnowLover
    LOL I’m not quite buying the 4 foot totals though in eastern PA
  23. HVSnowLover
    Rgem looks great
  24. HVSnowLover
    2 runs so not consistent yet but I’d be interested to see if other models tonight trend toward NAM or hold serve
  25. HVSnowLover
    Definitely came west but it’s minor difference from 18z
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