
HVSnowLover
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Everything posted by HVSnowLover
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Quick mover but loaded with moisture on the ecm, looks like over an inch qpf -
Temp is definitely colder than modeled but doesn’t seem like any precip left other than scattered snow showers
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Can’t remember a storm that hit both the coast and interior this hard in a long time
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Just started snowing again and temp back down to 32
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Usually the big storms flip back to snow after the dry slot and warming so would make sense
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I can’t explain it. I’d say dynamics but that’s not even it with this storm
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Rates have been mostly garbage here since 4 pm but on the plus side no mixing yet
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Pretty surprised that Riverhead and Central Park basically same temp, models seem wrong about the warm air moving in east to west.
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Seems to be a warm wedge, reports of sleet in Brooklyn, SI, and parts of NJ as well south shore of LI. Either way most of the region I think is well over a foot.
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Yea nothing heavy here since like 4 pm but still been steady snow for the most part
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Odd how a lot of LI is colder than nyc. Somehow this always happens even in setups that you’d think would favor nyc
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Yea down to light snow here and windy
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Sounds reasonable. I’d expect slop/dry slot around 8 pm city on east
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Flakes are getting bigger which is beautiful but often a sign of a possible change to sleet or at least wetter snow
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Okay 5 inches is low but most areas are already a foot plus. What happened there was it too dry or too much mixing?
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As crazy it sounds the storm on the 12z ecm for next weekend might give the current storm a run for it’s money!
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I get we all want epic storm but the totals already are nothing to sneeze at
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Mid level warming always underestimated. NAM and rgem did have sleet up to central nj and touching south shore
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Agree I think this far from over in terms of accumulating snow
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I don’t agree. But you have a while to go until dryslot
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Maybe it’s coming in earlier than modeled the whole storm has progressed faster than modeled so wouldn’t be shocking
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I’d guess no one except the east end goes above 32 until dry slot (nyc may not go above 32 at all)
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Exactly not unexpected if you understand how storms work
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Blocking pattern is always going to be better for nyc south.
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