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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    I can’t tell if the pink is mixing or super heavy snow, I think the latter?
  2. HVSnowLover
    Every storm everyone worries about rain. This is not winter 2020 anymore. This is not a rain threat based on current guidance.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Only NAM 3k is like this
  4. HVSnowLover
    Thats a flag for mixing but unreliable model
  5. HVSnowLover
    Not worried about nyc mixing when the heavy snow axis still extends well to the SE
  6. HVSnowLover
    Agree 850s are plenty cold.
  7. HVSnowLover
    NAM is very juiced 1 inch qpf for nyc/li
  8. HVSnowLover
    That’s not mixing issues that’s evaporational cooling
  9. HVSnowLover
    A small west shift would actually probably plaster the city and immediate burbs. It would take pretty big shift to create mixing issues for the city, would have to shift 100 miles which isn’t likely under 2 days out
  10. HVSnowLover
    Doubt it, maybe eastern LI and Jersey shore.
  11. HVSnowLover
    50 miles NW and it’s a SECS for a lot of the sub forum
  12. HVSnowLover
    Agree rates will be similar but much faster, 3-6 is a good call for the metro with maybe more on LI
  13. HVSnowLover
    Rain?
  14. HVSnowLover
    My guess is it will depend what 12z euro shows
  15. HVSnowLover
    Yes cmc and NAM are warning level to the city
  16. HVSnowLover
    One more tick west and its winter storm warning level snow again
  17. HVSnowLover
    They did pretty good last storm ratios were higher than 10:1 even near the coast for a lot of the storm
  18. HVSnowLover
    I think 3-6 is a good call for most of the area
  19. HVSnowLover
    Agree i think it’ll come a bit more nw
  20. HVSnowLover
    It was tucked a few days ago. Now models are trending toward euro before and euro is too far se. I’d expect it to come around at 12z at this point
  21. HVSnowLover
    Commack jackpot no surprise lol
  22. HVSnowLover
    Even for nyc to jackpot which I am not necessarily even hoping for ACY usually has to at least mix
  23. HVSnowLover
    It’s been a long time southern nj got totals like that, the air is not artic yet and nothing to keep this from coming north so the more it amps I think the more nw it comes
  24. HVSnowLover
    I think he meant in terms of se areas of the city getting more than nw areas of the city. This is possible depending on how amped and how far nw it gets.
  25. HVSnowLover
    Agree I would lean toward NAM type solution but maybe a little less qpf
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