I actually think immediately nw of the city will do better than the city and LI will do the best, the city due to UHI struggles a bit when temps arent that cold and precipitation is not super heavy
Also I read yesterday due to how cold 850s are this should be pretty high ratio snow so this is one case where 10:1 maps may be underestimating totals a bit
Agree usually if it was going to trend more west the models would just keep trending west and west like the two big storms we’ve had. I still think 3-6 for the city and 6-12 for central and eastern LI is a good call. Nice storm but not a big one city on west.