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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. The temp difference between coast and interior a bit more extreme than expected, usually better temp gradient is more intense precip. Just hope it’s not mixing on coast but if it’s already flurries then nyc/LI should be fine.
  2. Maybe slightly but it comes in like a wall so should be snowing good by 10 am
  3. Unfortunately seems the trend is undeniable and this is becoming a nuisance event west of LI
  4. Yea it’s not marginal in the sense of precipitation type concerns but agree with poster that at the start it might be a bit warm in some areas
  5. Possibly could happen there also may be an inland band as some models have hinted and the places between the coastal and and inland band would get the biggest shaft
  6. Still 38 here not really worried about precip type tomorrow at all though but may be a wetter snow if temps don’t fully cooperate
  7. Not necessarily that simple but I respect sticking with your forecast. I don’t think it’ll be a total bust and sticking with 3-6 for nyc
  8. Uptons forecast and write up is reasonable with 4-8 inches for warning zone and they mention possibility totals will be lower if the bands stay to the southeast
  9. Newest NAM is probably most realistic. Other models seem too dry for the coast
  10. Radar always looks juicy in the south. Let’s hope models a bit too dry though
  11. Not so much responding to you as the post you were responding to but In the interior there will be definitely be more chances and on the coast this one still may pan out. Also we can’t control whether this pans out or not. Also the more chances are within 5 days it’s not like fantasy runs.
  12. Wow they must be interpreting the models different than we are
  13. Yea that one is probably the best bet for accumulating snow for the coast
  14. Ecm has 4 storms in the next 7 days. Won’t be all frozen but definitely interesting pattern
  15. Yes but more storm threats (although iffy temps for the coast)
  16. I’d lean minor event for Tuesday but it could get sneaky if enough Atlantic moisture gets thrown in.
  17. ECM came a little southeast as well. If NAM caves upton should cancel WSW west of Long Island
  18. They aren’t really. 12z NAM in its own I’d be surprised if it holds at 18z. Right now thinking 2-4 inches.
  19. It’s not nearly perfect it’s a bit too Far East for a nyc jackpot and also super fast
  20. Ukie/rgem say minor event everywhere but they may be underdone on the other extreme
  21. Overrunning storms into cold airmass can sometimes be real fun but yes there is a threat of change to rain at the coast and ice inland. If you get a good track you get last weekend if you get a worse track you get above scenario.
  22. This is a different type of storm (fast moving Miller A) there might be a band that sets up nw but I think that will be near the city if it happens
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