
HVSnowLover
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Everything posted by HVSnowLover
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Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not sure which thread to put this in but since it starts on the 13th Ill put it here but Euro is more amped and juicy for the weekend storm but does change a lot of our area to ice after some front end snow. -
Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Its amazing how even Mother nature has been this week lol, The Sunday storm hit the areas this storm will hit and yesterdays storm hit the areas to the north -
Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's okay on Tuesday upton called for 1-3 inches and I got nothing so now they can call for nothing and I can get 1-3 inches -
Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The trend this winter has been for snow to generally make it further north than modeled or at least for their to be a band near the northern extent of the precip so I wouldn't be suprised if this overperforms somewhere near or in NYC -
looks very icy for all nw suburbs but we know this will change, there is a big storm signal for mid next week which is all that matters for now
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Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hope Euro bumps north and comes on board, after todays bust I want to make up the 1-2 inches lol -
Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
very light precip for us -
Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
RGEM also looks north -
Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yea pretty much every storm has bumped north in the 48-72 hour range this winter so wouldn't be surprised if at least one of the two waves bumps north -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
For your area maybe but definitely it was a bust for some. i was predicted to get 1-3 inches and did not see one flake today, i actually can't remember this bad of a bust in a while. -
Does;'t really look like anyone is winning all that much, will change anyway. 12Z Euro was a bit closer on the events this week
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OBs and nowcast TUESDAY 2A-6P Feb 9, 2021
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Seemed this storm performed as expected from around I84 and points north- 82 replies
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- snow
- freezing rain
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OBs and nowcast TUESDAY 2A-6P Feb 9, 2021
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just started sleeting here- 82 replies
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- snow
- freezing rain
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(and 1 more)
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Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
bust, poor modeling on this. Sunday was a positive bust You win some you lose some. -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Doubt there is plain rain tomorrow in the Bronx or even the North Shore of LI -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think the issue for NYC/LI is more lack of precip than temps. -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like the areas that missed out yesterday will cash in a bit tomorrow and the areas that got hit good yesterday will get less. Basically every model has .20 qpf for my area. -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yesterdays didn't bump north (at least under 48 hours). Agree though most storms have. -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That map looks about what is being forecasted. Less than an inch southern NYC/1-3 inches Northern NYC/Immediate suburbs. 3-6 NW of I287. -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Upton has Orange/Putnam counties to your south maxing out in the low 30s and even has my area at the border of the city as all snow tomorrow so the two NWS don't seem to agree -
This is what I imagine living more inland is like (you live in catskills so you would know) but I think they get less bombs so to speak but more snow threats that pile up over time.
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The GFS was an apps runner yesterday, I don't think it has much of a clue on this storm.
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Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
HVSnowLover replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Agree I have developed a rule which so far has had some success in predicting storms. If it starts below freezing in the city and no there is no strong mid level warmth expect it to perform well, if it starts above freezing in the city but strong dynamics (ex: yesterday) expect it to perform. Any other scenarios expect totals to bust low. This one starts below freezing in the city. (there is some mid level warmth but with a weak low tracking off the coast I wouldn't expect it to be that strong)