Jump to content

HVSnowLover

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,952

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Models still sort of all over the place with this, NAM focused much more on overrunning tomorrow and Friday with coastal, Euro/CMC weaker with overrunning but have snow on Friday.
  2. HVSnowLover
    Honestly wouldn't mind a little sleet mixing in, that would help preserve snowpack through March.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Yea given we are seeing some changes models still might be figuring things out.
  4. HVSnowLover
    Sheared out mess if temps are below freezing will still accumulate but yes probably to hit big totals would need some stretch of actual moderate to heavy snow.
  5. HVSnowLover
    Definitely looking like a long duration event is possible, CMC has on and off snow for 40 hours lol
  6. HVSnowLover
    Not that I think this will happen but this event could be even bigger if the coastal moisture gets cranking on Friday
  7. HVSnowLover
    Probably safe to change the title of this thread at this point. This is going to replenish the snowpack not destroy it lol
  8. HVSnowLover
    It maxed at 39 here during the actual storm but ended up making it over 50 once the sun came out.
  9. HVSnowLover
    Seems models trending drier but colder. Probably right where we want this right now expecting the usual north tick.
  10. HVSnowLover
    I think we are narrowing the range, I am pretty confident most of our area is getting more than 1 inch.
  11. HVSnowLover
    The NAM has the overrunning snow targeting our area. I don't really bother with the NAM beyond 48 hours but the main storm is probably sleet/mix with more snow north of the city.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Agree about using kuchera especially in the case because 850s aren't ideal for snow growth, either way totals are pretty similar either way.
  13. HVSnowLover
    Yea if we had a strong well positioned high probably woulda been a way different outcome (although in this case probably better off this way)
  14. HVSnowLover
    NAM is a crusher, 6+ inches for most of us.
  15. HVSnowLover
    Nice maps, ECM was way too warm NW of the city. GFS/NAM seemed like they did a pretty good job with the coastal front
  16. HVSnowLover
    I know it's a volatile situation but usually if the models are showing the snow line starting near Toms River we are in pretty good shape. It's when it is showing it just south of the city that we are more likely to bust with a quick changeover.
  17. HVSnowLover
    Agree if we want big totals we want the thump focused on our area and not further south. (Although the tradeoff would be risking a flip to rain)
  18. HVSnowLover
    That's not much considering I am assuming you never went above freezing during precip
  19. HVSnowLover
    Strong coastal front set up, LI in the 50s. I've been up to 39 so far while southern parts of the city reached mid to upper 40s..
  20. HVSnowLover
    Its trending south, not north. I wouldn't be surprised if it moves back a little north though.
  21. HVSnowLover
    Agree because of the snow to ice potential I think WSW will be issued tomorrow if the 12Z runs maintain this look.
  22. HVSnowLover
    Yea the main storm is now headed into western PA. I'd say if your temp is like 28 or lower now you probably are headed for a solid icestorm. .
  23. HVSnowLover
    Still a miller B I think as it snows into Ohio and to the Canadian border
  24. HVSnowLover
    GFS v16 is close to all snow for the city CMC is heavy snow to sleet for the city (all frozen)
  25. HVSnowLover
    Possible warning event if the overrunning stuff is heavy in our area, otherwise advisory event.
×
×
  • Create New...