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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. I'd say about 50/50 for this one now. Euro having a hit 3 straight runs (big hit last two) is nothing to ignore. However the fact none of the other models have shown an actual hit is still a bit concerning.
  2. Euro still not really showing anything for this which actually worries me a bit because if it's wrong about this I wonder if it may be wrong about the follow up storm.
  3. GFS/NAM/CMC now all have at least some rain/snow for the region.
  4. GFS/NAM now both on board for Thursday morning frontal passage event.
  5. Yes definitely agree with that I'd rather have 2-4 of all snow than 2-4 washed away by rain but i'd probably rather have 2-4 washed away by rain then all dry and cold unless there already is a snowpack in place.
  6. I'd agree at this point I'd lean no snowstorm as well. If Euro holds it's solution at 0Z and/or any other models come on board at 0Z my confidence would go up a lot though.
  7. Also have to think about the pattern. Right now I'd take my chances with amped over surpressed. Normally I wouldn't say that anywhere near the coast but this cold air in the next few weeks is strong. Of course it depends a bit on Location, overamped got me an inch yesterday the ACY blizzard I didn't see a flake. However I realize for places like South Shore of LI and NJ coast it was the opposite.
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