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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Hopefully this one tracks far enough south to give you snow instead of ice but not far enough south to surpress. I really don't see a plain rain event north of I84 in this setup.
  2. HVSnowLover
    NYC averages 26 inches a winter so I disagree that almost half of that total in one storm is meh.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Most of NYC got around a foot. Thats a good storm.
  4. HVSnowLover
    I mean I get you are right about this setup but I've never seen you predict a storm to go well and NYC somehow has 20 inches of snow this winter.
  5. HVSnowLover
    I think ice is pretty inevitable with this at least for the interior (unless it really supresses) very strong high to the north.
  6. HVSnowLover
    This one is not as likely to be as wild as the last one, first of all we already have snowcover so there is less desperation and also the upside potential is not nearly as high.
  7. HVSnowLover
    Ukie unfortunately is the outlier right now but this can still definitely change.
  8. HVSnowLover
    Euro bumped north.
  9. HVSnowLover
    Trend toward Euro on 12Z GFS for the late week storm.
  10. HVSnowLover
    I think ended up with about 10 inches here, never snowed that hard but the ratios really saved it. Congrats to those on LI who got absolutely pounded.
  11. HVSnowLover
    It really depends on what happens with the high placement and the track of late week storm, it will be the difference between one day of 40s on Wed and maybe Thu or Wed-Fri all into the 40s/50s.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Has Islip broken 2 feet yet?
  13. HVSnowLover
    There will be a warmup midweek but if the late week storm tracks further south it will be more brief and in fact the snow pack may replenish as opposed to get completely wiped out.
  14. HVSnowLover
    That high and class of airmasses could mean business, these types of storms usually favor interior but if the high gets really strong it could surpress the storm further south.
  15. HVSnowLover
    The storm on Thursday-Friday just came way south on the Ukie, CMC, and Euro.
  16. HVSnowLover
    Upton did really well with holding their ground with the 7-11 for NYC even with the models going east yesterday. If anything NYC may overperform a little.
  17. HVSnowLover
    Fair enough but I mean more so for NYC on northwest which is where it was more expected the ratios would be high due to less intense wind. And Islip I heard is up to 22 inches so might be somewhere in western suffolk that approaches 30.
  18. HVSnowLover
    Yea honestly its snowing as heavy as it has all day so far right now.
  19. HVSnowLover
    You are literally like a mile or two south of me I think and I don't think it has ripped the entire storm here. But perhaps I am underestimating because of how windy it is.
  20. HVSnowLover
    In my view the guidance did well overall for a third straight storm, pretty consistent in terms of overall outcome inside 120 hours.
  21. HVSnowLover
    Every model has this as an east storm except a few NAM'ed and Euro runs but the gfs was showing like 1-3 inches for 10 runs in a row for NYC lol.
  22. HVSnowLover
    The models actually did well with the kuchera ratios for this storm I think. I can't imagine we got that much liquid.
  23. HVSnowLover
    Hasn't really snowed hard the whole storm, moderate at best but based on reports and eyeballing maybe around 6-7 inchers. Ratios sort of salvaged this.
  24. HVSnowLover
    The latest RAP has the 1 inch liquid up to the east river
  25. HVSnowLover
    I mean even if the rates didn't pick up, if it snowed at this pace from now until noon tomorrow it would be more than 2-4 inches.
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