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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. I think it depends on track, NYC basically needs perfect track and intensity to pull it off which I guess supports your point if its reliant on an almost perfect setup.
  2. That storm looks like the best example of the UHI affect, I honestly don't remember each individual storm that great but clearly central LI getting more than the city with this doesn't look based on track.
  3. Also the March 2016 storm would have been a blizzard in NYC if the track had stayed further east as initially projected, surface temps were cold and frozen precip had no problem accumulating in the daytime but the low tracking too close to the coast turned into a sleet storm.
  4. Winter storm Toby was the March storm in 2018 that accumulated fine in the city. Need it below 32 in March within the five boroughs to get good accumulations and probably below 30 in Manhattan.
  5. Most of the storms that March were pretty frustrating but this one was the most frustrating, snowed all day and didn't stick at all.
  6. Agree this pattern seems more exciting, im actually kind of tired of cold all the time with ACY snowstorms.
  7. Thats why I said threats, Im not focused on precip types 200 hours plus out.
  8. Urban heating really destroys the city accumulating in any kind of marginal events (which most March storms tend to be) . LI would actually have less issues generally in March than December because ocean is colder.
  9. Nice weenie GFS run with snow threats both next Friday, next Sunday, and next Monday.
  10. Agree. The next two days will be close to average mid April highs lol.
  11. Seems that way although a bit unfortunate as March snowstorms are always battling sun angle and melt a day later.
  12. Looks like no snow threats again until early March when the pattern may or may not change. At this point im fine having some springlike weather, its been so cold for the mostpart since early January.
  13. Im really curious about this storm if its the one Im thinking of. I know there was always some start when I was a kid that it was supposed to be like 40s and rain and then it surprisingly changed to heavy snow and was like some huge surprise and I never knew what storm that was. I imagine models were less accurate than.
  14. Agree the totals aren't terrible. I think it feels worse because basically the season snowfall are all from two storms so we've only had two real snow events all winter.
  15. Last year was a more 90s type winter where areas North and West did a lot better than the coast. I agree since 2010 LI/Jersey Shore seem to get the heaviest snows. I agree even 1-3 inches would be nice with this, would be a nice send off to winter before the milder pattern takes over.
  16. The places that have gotten snow all winter will get more snow. Guess we need to move to ACY?
  17. I know there won't be a big storm but I meant for those writing it off as at most an inch. There seem to be two variables at play (the frontal passage snow) and the coastal storm snow.
  18. I didn't know the final outcome of a storm is decided 3 days out.
  19. This is one reason it's hard to envision living on LI, It seems like it would feel very trapped having to go through the city to get anywhere. Maybe one day theyll make a bridge connecting the North Shore to the Continent, I know thats been discussed.
  20. Im confused about Marble Hill, it's in the bronx and has a bronx zipcode but is considered part of Manhattan?
  21. How so? What part of Manhattan doesn't have water surrounding it?
  22. Yes after a 1-2 years living in Ulster County and being on the other side of coastals, Orange County does seem to be the sweet spot in terms of far enough NW to have barely any marine influence and close enough SE to still get hit by storms that track near the BM. Similar to the dreaded I287 cutoff with rain/snow line, I84 seems to be the dreaded solid snow vs barely anything line in terms of coastals.
  23. Agree Tarrytown is right along I287 so makes sense. Thats always the cut off in my mind although I guess everyone has microclimates.
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