HVSnowLover
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Everything posted by HVSnowLover
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For some reason I just realized Sloatsburg is the latitude of Central Westchester, it's really not that far north.
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I mean anyone can post anywhere they want, I know NYC posters post on the NE forum all the time. I think my post may have been taken out of context or maybe I didn't explain it well. I personally love hearing the HV crew chime in but just saying climo wise it's like two entirely different regions, like Mid HV is a distinct climo from NYC Metro.
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The NW crew won't agree with you on that and they are right but I don't think places like catskills should be part of our subforum when their climo is way closer to Albany than to NYC. IMO the subforum should be Uptons forecasting zone. Once you get to Ulster north they are in Albanys forecasting zone I presume for a reason.
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I still remember the 24-48 inches and 90 mph wind for LI for the 1/29 storm prediction and agree it all sounded rational. I mean for Islip it wasn't that far off.
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My guess is if it snows again it will be sometime between 3/7 and 3/22.
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While storms have definitely favored eastern locations this winter the number at NYC is wrong and underdone as usual.
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Only 3 snow events for NYC this winter >1 inch but still close to average seasonal totals.
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I am really starting to wonder if NYC will see any snow again this winter season. Looks like no threats for next few weeks and then we are in mid March.
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I guess you mean 93 but it wasn't a KU event for NYC.
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Who would expect a KU event in March in NYC? Someone recently showed that its extremely rare for NYC to get >12 inch storms in March. However if we can dink and dunk to another 5 or so inches NYC will hit seasonal their average for the winter.
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Agree it was incredibly reasonable to believe Ulster and Dutchess county would fair well in this setup and it's also a myth they never do well with SWFE. This one had a bad airmass to start, I mean it started as sleet in NW NJ.
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Wouldn't Boston also suffer from UH? I would also be curious how many storms NYC gets 0 inches and Boston gets > 6 (like this last storm). I'd hypotheize its rare with coastals but common with SWFE events.
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NYC on east still does better on patterns that favor DC-ACY (Aka January 2022) North of I80/I287 to I84 probably is like middleground North of I84 does better with patterns that favor interior
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Yes but that hasn't been the only problem. From my recall we've only had two storms this winter that we ever had any shot and missed north. Most storms are cutters or miss to the south and east.
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I also read CMC is now considered #2 behind the Euro. CMC did decently with this storm so makes sense
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Globals did horrible with upper level temps with this.
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It's not siberia but Southwest Brooklyn, Southern Manhattan, and Southern Queens are better choices for people who hate snow.
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It could have been worse, sounds like places not too far south of you only got an inch or two.
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I'll give you credit, at least you own up a little when wrong. This is the second event along with 1/16 that overperformed from a winter weather standpoint (not necessarily snow standpoint).
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Im honestly amazed how conservative upton was. Should have been ice storm warnings for most of the metro area.
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Raining again and still below freezing. No model had it below freezing here at this time let alone in parts of NYC/LI.
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You aren't that far north but pretty far west so yes it would make sense you'd do better MLK day storm where the gradient was more SE to NW as opposed to south to north. Also that storm had a very cold airmass in place, it was in the single digits that morning and a colder entrenched airmass aloft as well, even the city started with a few hours of snow.
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Learned my lesson with this storm. If the primary is tracking into upstate NY it is over for significant snow south of I90 unless there is a cold deep airmass out ahead that could support significant front end.
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All the models busted too warm at the surface (not shocking) NAM won on the upper levels, I feel bad for the Mid Hudson region getting shafted.
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31 with ZR. Still lots of sleet on the side streets. Don't think it ever went above freezing here yet. Looks wintry out, would have preferred more sleet and less of a ZR event but oh well.
