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jjwxman

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Everything posted by jjwxman

  1. jjwxman
    Taken verbatim the GFS drops 6-8 over the Triad before it changes to rain... But I’m not so sure I buy the switch over to rain along and west of the I-85 Corridor. Who knows...
  2. jjwxman
    So how about this forecast for Greensboro from RAH... is this their way of telling folks not to let their guard down? Seems a little over the top to me based on the forecasts... Thoughts?
  3. jjwxman
    Many areas in western NC have already had a surplus of rain this year. A stalling hurricane plus strong wind gusts over this area would be terrible. Let's hope against that outcome.
  4. jjwxman
    Raleigh is considering upgrading portions of the NW Piedmont to a Warning in their afternoon forecast package. Discussion: A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the Northwest and Northern Piedmont including the Triad area for 1 to possibly 2 inches of wet snow. A Warning may be needed for portions of the Northwest Piedmont and the Advisory may need to be extended eastward with the afternoon forecast package...
  5. jjwxman
    Thundersnow reported in Jackson, MS earlier.
  6. jjwxman
    The NWS offices across the deep south/ SE are reporting overachieving occuring.
  7. jjwxman
    Looks like the classic case of GOM convection blocking moisture transport to me. Nothing can kill a storm system in the SE faster than GOM convection.
  8. jjwxman
    I was happy with the Euro run. It was a good average between all the 12z data. I personally believe the best case scenario is Allen's first guess map. 1-4" would be a big win anywhere in NC before the Winter Solstice. Perspective, it's not even Winter yet.
  9. jjwxman
    But, without a CAD the WAA is less noticeable in the soundings even though it is definitely there. This set up is definitely unique to our usual snow set ups. Interesting times ahead!
  10. jjwxman
    One problem with that idea is there is no HP to the north. Much easier for WAA to invade without it IMO.
  11. jjwxman
    FWIW, the NAM 3km. Hr 60 is dangerous, but Warmer profiles noted.
  12. jjwxman
    At 54 dewpoints are in the upper 20's in the Triad. Upper 30's surface. Any moderate precip would be snow, per sounding.
  13. jjwxman
    You've been NAM'd
  14. jjwxman
    The 12z Euro snow accumulations:
  15. jjwxman
    Looks good for the Triad/Foothills.
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