LOL at DTs latest update.
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115 pm Radar update....
Everything north and west of the black line is light snow and snow intensity is so light that I doubt if anybody north of the black line is going to get anything over 2 inches and that includes Richmond. In essence everything north and west of the black line is falling apart faster the Kansas City's offense line in the super bowl.. The blue area is represent pockets of moderate snow embedded in the light snow.
There is No doubt my forecast is going to bust terribly in the Virginia Piedmont and in the Richmond Metro area. Even worse is the fact that all the short Range model data have also performed very badly.
Usually you can anticipate some kind of error or break down at some portion of a forecast because of various factors. You should expect some kind of glitch in the short range models that missed a particular aspect of a storm whether it's rain or high winds or cold or snow. But even early this WED morning all of the short Range models had Richmond getting 5 inches of snow and that is clearly not happening.
Even the low end snow forecast are going to be wrong . No one north and west of the Black line is getting 2-6” of snow. And yeah from what I can see all the TVs forecast in the Richmond Metro area are going to bust too.
Raleigh and Northeast North Carolina still have a really good chance of getting three to six inches of snow out of this and Hampton Roads it still has a very good chance of getting eight of more inches out of this
The last two events I did really well and I was very pleased with the forecast. Forecast. but this one I will end up easily being my worst perform of the winter. A very difficult and frustrating storm."