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tristateweatherFB

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Everything posted by tristateweatherFB

  1. tristateweatherFB
    Ty. But you see we did it twice this year and worked. If it can work next week look out! Haha. I hope we all cash in
  2. tristateweatherFB
    Haha not yet. And it’s a meatball watch first would be Monday night. Tuesday night a warning meaning eat your meatballs on Wednesday! We two for two with higher snowfall this year. We aiming for a biggy next week
  3. tristateweatherFB
    It didn’t come way north as you said. Just some more Qpf. It’s the same.
  4. tristateweatherFB
    Wrong
  5. tristateweatherFB
    Maybe it’s lack of sleep but I don’t see it. Less qpf. Tick north.
  6. tristateweatherFB
    Within 24 hrs of then event. They will put up warnings and wwa around 3pm
  7. tristateweatherFB
    It’s been awful all year. Will correct stronger
  8. tristateweatherFB
    Yes I see it but the way I read it sounding tucked in. If precip arrives early could be rain but also means more tucked
  9. tristateweatherFB
    How far out does the hrrr go out? I thought only 48 hrs
  10. tristateweatherFB
    You should hire taller people.
  11. tristateweatherFB
    Anyone else puzzled/worried?
  12. tristateweatherFB
    I understand the excitement of a single op run. Even the ensembles (which is more realistic). But… teleconnections!! Epo! Mjo! Combo is a good tool but know how to use it. I kept thinking the Mjo was wrong. Showing warn phase and then crash in the cod. I (we) seen this get stronger into phases. Mjo loves the cod. Well here is the new mjo. That adds to the fact the mjo teleconnection is coming around. personally I been saying warm up (though thought would be more impressive and longer) then fun come mid January 10-20th for a very long time. I am selfishly trying to get a big storm in that timeframe. Before that it’s gravy and unlikely. keep Up the good work everyone! I can’t always post due to my weather obligations. happy and healthy new year to all.
  13. tristateweatherFB
    I don’t post often here but for a couple of weeks I been calling for a warm holiday. Why? Look at the mjo going into phase 6. Look at the epo going positive. Look at the pna going positive. reasonable ppl or people that just want to talk snow is coming. Sorry to bust your bubble but warmth is coming second half of this month. I do see a flip back in January where I hope we cash in. We need it especially along the coast
  14. tristateweatherFB
    Just look at the trees. Lol. Is that summer?
  15. tristateweatherFB
    Doesn’t look like that on radar
  16. tristateweatherFB
    No one posted the good old jma jma jma
  17. tristateweatherFB
    Did you see how phase 6 is in February?
  18. tristateweatherFB
    Should I even mention ratios? Haha
  19. tristateweatherFB
    No clue what ppl talking about but the low is further nw. This should be warmer. And then have to see second piece of energy
  20. tristateweatherFB
  21. tristateweatherFB
    Nw of 287
  22. tristateweatherFB
    It really makes me laugh with these posts. Between winter cancel. No opportunities coming. Then wow we going to get slammed. To oh no it’s shifting nw. Any of us can look at a model and see what it shows. Imagine if all models were correct a week out or 3 days out etc. What would be the point of the challenge to forecast this? Personally I kept saying for a couple of days snow nyc on north. Then stick with it until the energy comes onto the mainland and models adjust. Breathe ppl it’s going to be a wild ride this winter. Major opportunities with cold to work with coming up.
  23. tristateweatherFB
    What was your user name? I am Adam from tsw. Still doing this all these years.
  24. tristateweatherFB
    I remember hani. He would say only bill answer. then we developed tristate forums. Then fb which sandy blew us up. 380k ppl make things interesting. As I said on our patreon platform. Pms. Texts etc etc watch that epo! I don’t care if we have a trof over the east. If we have a negative nao this early. Means nothing if there is no cold air source. Remember normal temps are in the 40s. We need colder than normal weather. Epo being positive means we not in a good position to cash in. Wait until January. Breathe everyone things will get there. I know just like in real life people are impatient. They want results! Now! Doesnt work that way
  25. tristateweatherFB
    No one? Anyone? The nam doing what the nam does
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