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Rsheely88

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Everything posted by Rsheely88

  1. Rsheely88
    0z Icon trend .
  2. Rsheely88
    3k is much colder .
  3. Rsheely88
    18z Euro AI with nice precip increase in QPF. .
  4. Rsheely88
    I think the 3k NAM if i remember correctly did better than the longer range HRR during the late January event. I’ll see if i can find the archive runs .
  5. Rsheely88
    SREF Mean .
  6. Rsheely88
    Here is the latest mean… .
  7. Rsheely88
    .
  8. Rsheely88
    Still snowing most areas at 60 .
  9. Rsheely88
    The 1/21-1/22 event recently trended super dry then within 24 hours started to expand the precip shield west. So maybe we see that but anymore runs with this trend hatteras may be the only safe spot. .
  10. Rsheely88
    It’s the SREF. Really the NAM will normally follow so early indication 0z NAM may cave to other model runs. .
  11. Rsheely88
    Love it. I mean really, NAM was on an island of its own. I bet we see 6-10 RIC, 10-14” Tidewater and eastern shore, 1-3/2-4 up to DC. That precip shield def going to expand. .
  12. Rsheely88
    .
  13. Rsheely88
    Normally NAM will follow SREF. So will be interesting to see the 0z .
  14. Rsheely88
    Either way i think Elizabeth city to RIC is in a nice spot .
  15. Rsheely88
    Well he does say shift precip “shield” but someone asked does it normally shift within 48 hrs. Sometimes maybe but normally the precip expands .
  16. Rsheely88
    It doesn’t mean the LP will trend NW, what he means is normally the qpf shield expands so more moisture is typically seen on the short range models as we get closer .
  17. Rsheely88
    Sweet mother of Nature!! .
  18. Rsheely88
    18z euro even more of a shift SE with the LP slightly and colder .
  19. Rsheely88
    Essentially now (ensembles) Euro, GFS, UK and CMC in alignment .
  20. Rsheely88
    Still tight gradient in the RAL area but seeing the gfs solution toward Euro and CMC is good sign. .
  21. Rsheely88
    18z GFS pretty sizable shift south and east. .
  22. Rsheely88
    84hr NAM looks like the GFS but more amped .
  23. Rsheely88
    Euro Ensemble even better! .
  24. Rsheely88
    Ensemble .
  25. Rsheely88
    Yea i can’t get the maps on WB to load either. .
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