Rsheely88

0z Icon trend .

3k is much colder .

18z Euro AI with nice precip increase in QPF. .

I think the 3k NAM if i remember correctly did better than the longer range HRR during the late January event. I’ll see if i can find the archive runs .

SREF Mean .

Here is the latest mean… .

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Still snowing most areas at 60 .

The 1/21-1/22 event recently trended super dry then within 24 hours started to expand the precip shield west. So maybe we see that but anymore runs with this trend hatteras may be the only safe spot. .

It’s the SREF. Really the NAM will normally follow so early indication 0z NAM may cave to other model runs. .

Love it. I mean really, NAM was on an island of its own. I bet we see 6-10 RIC, 10-14” Tidewater and eastern shore, 1-3/2-4 up to DC. That precip shield def going to expand. .

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Normally NAM will follow SREF. So will be interesting to see the 0z .

Either way i think Elizabeth city to RIC is in a nice spot .

Well he does say shift precip “shield” but someone asked does it normally shift within 48 hrs. Sometimes maybe but normally the precip expands .