vpbob21
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Everything posted by vpbob21
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Biggest "storm" of the season out in Huron. Picked up a whopping 3" - had 1.5" when I got up this morning and then another 1.5" through the day. Certainly more than I was expecting.
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Have to laugh a little at that Public Information Statement from CLE, calling this a "storm". Over here on the lakeshore in Erie County this one did better than I expected. My wife (who gets up earlier than I do) said when she got up everything was white. By the time I got up (about 9:00) it was down to just the car tops and roofs - very little on the grass. Still I measured about .6 of slop on my car. Probably could have been an inch before it started melting.
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Oh I agree ... still too early to give up on this. A lot of model runs to go. But the 12Z runs so far haven't given me any more cause for optimism. I'd feel a lot better if we had a nice Hudson Bay high pressing south, but we don't have that and I just don't see anything to keep this from trending north.
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Not a good 0z GFS run for us. 1002 mb low passing over CAK and the 850 mb 0C line going all the way to Toledo. I have my doubts that line would really go that far north given that track, but the north trends are concerning. The 0z GGEM was a great run for us but it's not the most comforting feeling having to ride the GGEM.
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Measured another 3.5" on top of the 7" from earlier for a total of 10.5". Looks like that deform band is going to swing through later on and hopefully that can get us to around a foot.
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Still pouring snow here. Flake size quite a bit smaller that earlier. We are at right around 7". Got a feeling we're going to see some power outages when the winds really pick up later this evening - this snow is like cement and really clinging to tree branches.
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At least the first phase of this storm has performed as well if not better than expected. I'm at about 5" now with the dry slot right on my doorstep. Radar seems to be filling in some to my southwest so maybe there won't be much of a break before the next wave in Indiana moves in. I think the northernmost row of counties might still be able to reach double digits - IF we can stay all snow. I think we will but it's going to be close.
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Unfortunately they are looking pretty good right now. The models just keep on edging north. The 21Z SREF's at CLE are down to about 9" (from about 13" at 15Z) with about half the members below 7". Not looking good at all. Just hoping we get some love from the rest of the 00Z models. At this point, I'm just hoping we can pull 6" out of this one.