I wish I could be as confident as you are. Certainly there is big time potential here but plenty that can go wrong. Last few GFS runs have been pretty good but I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing.
Some of these snow showers behind the main area mean business. Just picked up a quick half inch in about 15 minutes. Up to about 2" for the whole event.
Picked up another 1.2" today. We're slowly grinding our way to a decent snowpack, looks like around 3" on the ground.
Saw something you guys out east aren't going to be happy with, Lake Erie looked like all ice as far out as you could see out from Huron. That surprised me a little, I didn't think it had really been that cold.
Picked up about 1.5" with the overnight and this morning's snow. The line of snow showers that came through around 10 AM was very impressive, even better than the line that gave us the snow squall warning a few weeks ago. Visibility at peak was probably 1/8 mile and we got 1" in maybe 15 minutes.
Looks like the Sunday night/Monday system has gone south on us (literally). Never really had great expectations for this but was hoping we could score a 1-3"/2-4" type event out of it. Even that looks overly optimistic at this point. Hopefully we get more chances later in the month.
Probably because of how high the ceiling is for this. If it can avoid going over land early on, given the SST's and lack of shear, I have to think cat 5 is very possible, if not likely.
Will be interesting to see what the hurricane models will crank out once they start running. Wouldn't be surprised to see at least one of them go sub 900mb.
Had a couple quick showers yesterday that dropped maybe .01. The lake breeze is well entrenched so I doubt we see anything today. Sunday is looking more iffy as the storms might fire just to the south and east of here. Need that front to slow down just a bit.
Regarding the chicken debate, among the 4 places we have in Sandusky, I would rate them (from best to worst): Chick-fil-a (although I think they have slipped a bit recently), Lee's, Cane's, KFC
The models keep edging the track of the low farther east. I'm thinking flooding may be a bigger hazard tomorrow in Ohio than severe, maybe the counties near the WV and PA borders could get some severe action.
Tried the place out today after all the recommendations. Agree that it's good but pricey. Cracker Barrel is generally my go to place for breakfast - don't see myself converting to SBPH. 3 pancakes cost $10 (nothing else). At CB for the same price I can get 3 bigger pancakes as well as 2 eggs and 2 strips of bacon.