NCSNOW
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Everything posted by NCSNOW
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The snow will be insane cause I can smell the rain. Much improved GFS
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Good deal and encouraging. Thanks for sharing. Get Brick on board and well be ready to roll.
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You heard any good news from our friend over in the foothils today?
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Nice trends on icon today.
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UKMET SNOWFALL: Just like FV3 for mtns. Wowza, probably has alot of ice getting thrown in for central NC, like the euro
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over 24 inches. Let that sink in for a minute.
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Cant draw it up any better. Oh the wait and hanging on to this/ locking it in. You'll see your foot finally
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Someone do me the favor in a few minutes and post the clown map off FV3. This will be historic eye candy.
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Waiting on the clown map pastebombs tonight, showing everything painted 12÷ south of Mt Airy, BIG FROSTY. He'll be shaded in the dusting color all the way up to the start of the event. Then when we post final storm obs he'll have 19 and rest of us will be talking about what almost was.
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Hot as Hades today. Cant remember an october day feeling as bad as it does . AND HOW BOUT THE PANTHERS. 63 YARDER FOR THE WIN BABY
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Gonna be a southern stream dominate pattern this year (STJ). Lets just hope we can set up the NE pacific right and get the split flow to work for us on the east coast. Gonna need some northern stream loving or we will get flooded with pacific origin air mass. Regardless if the El Nino is weak and west based. Its all about how the table sets up between the conus and Alaska. "Give me the Cold and I'll take my chances."
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Heres a drone fly over of Interstate 40 in Duplin County. This puts in perspective how dire the inland flooding is.https://www.wfmynews2.com/video/new...a-flooded-i-40-in-duplin-county-nc/83-8255013
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Sadly the death toll is up to 32 from Florence. and as feared the Cape Fear is setting new records for all time highs at many gauges. Heres a bfore and after pic I saw. This river flooding is going to be historic as many of us guessed it would be. Florence will be one of the top 10 costliest Hurricane disasters in our countrys history.
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Official highest gust at Wilmington is 105mph. Off to the southwest she goes, probably get back over water in Brunswick county. Bad news for Holden Beach, my family vacation spot for 25 years straight.
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Bad News is the sandwich effect and duration. That surge is gonna push back on all the river basins, large areas of sounds, the big rivers are and will be flowing in reverse direction for another 48 hours possibly. Then you got 48 hours of rain coming down with nowhere to drain to.
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Anyone post the 4 day rainfall total for NC , out through Monday off GFS. Trying to see how much from the Raincaine , goofy thinks is gonna fall. Thanks
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Posted by accident in the main thread, but you can watch the webcams at atlantic beach and see the waves really getting up now, occasionally kissing the underside of the pier.
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12z summary. Every model land falls New Hanover or Pender county NC. Did the canadian get onslow? Any way you slice it the surge is gonna be a nightmare from Wilmington up to ocracoke right past Morehead City. But despite this and the big wind, the flash flooding then river flooding to follow espeacilly in southern coastal plain is gonna be one for the ages I'm afraid. And that's saying alot after what's taken place just the past 20 years on our coast and enc. All eyes on euro and its ensembles to see if they kiss the same landfall point mentioned above by the 12z suite before doing the slow death crawl all weekend across SC
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Oh its accurate. Go pull up the 12z Nam sim radar views, zoom in at landfall forecast and its breathtaking how massive the eye. These EWRC have made this into a monster size wise. You can fit almost All of Randolph,Guilford,Forsyth and Davidson county inside the Nam sim view of the eyewall. Its posted on the other board. Really puts size of storm in perspective.
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HWRF had this excat same track last night. Hit Morehead and went SW to Lumberton and spun itself out.
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Yep, the euro and its end suite has done a very consistent job from late last week. Upper sc coast to Brunswick County,New Hanover county. None of this kiss Hatteras hula loop shenanigans.
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The timing and strength of the OV ridge is gonna decide who and where the hammer is gonna drop. Some folks gonna need that hammer to help construct an Ark.
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Latest hwrf loop takes Florence in Morehead area and goes west, then southwest to Lumberton by Saturday
