CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Nah I wont be paying much attention the rest of the evening. SB festivities.
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Lol second time today we posted a map within a few seconds. I deleted mine this time.
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12z CMC with some snow for PD. Second run in a row. '
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GFS is the most south among guidance, and even ticked a bit more souther at 12z. Its doing typical GFS things.
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lol I remember that
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A lot of these products at this timeframe are largely based on the NBM.
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I split my posts. You snuck in the map just before me.
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Greater DC area jack.
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We simply cannot know yet.
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Yeah it's drier. Something like 4-8 is probably more reasonable than the huge totals some runs have been spitting out.
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Euro is more amplified and has less confluence/weaker HP to the north. CMC and GFS are pretty similar. CMC already has moderate snow for us and GFS is trending that way.
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This is so close to something good.
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I told y'all this period was gonna trend better.
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You mean the GEFS Here is the EPS-
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Light snow falling here now.
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I know lol. I am most definitely a stickler for homophone misuse(abuse). I rarely do it. I always re-read what I wrote right after posting just to double check for misspellings etc.
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I mean, I effing corrected that like 30 seconds after I posted lol. ofc you caught it.
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Just having a little fun. When the models were cranking out the epic snow for our current window, I never bought it given the UL pattern. Snow/mix/ rain slop was the most likely outcome for these events. The fact we might sneak in a moderate snow event this week before it gets washed away by the next wave is a huge win to me. Getting perfect timing/spacing/amplification multiple times is asking too much in an 'okay' pattern. Looks like a fun period upcoming overall.
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This is the beginning/lead in to our upcoming epic (multi KU) period. It's not etched in stone that this will be a big MA rainier with cold coming in behind imo. A few days ago I had a little fun with the PD III possibility, and it won't be that, but a rain ending as snow deal or a secondary wave is a possibility Sunday into Monday.
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I'm not sure anyone else could have seen the persistently favorable h5 looks advertised by LR guidance for that period and made a bold call for a big winter storm.
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29 and cloudy
