CAPE

My grass is scorched. I will deal with that in another month. At least I won't have to water all the plants for a day or 2.

Picked up 0.47" in 10 mins.. Just caught the edge of the solid red. Places just east in DE are getting crushed.

This thread needs to be unpinned..

Shield caved here finally. Getting a nice deluge.

Just about right here. .05". And ofc been hearing thunder for hours from storms passing just to my west, and now north.

I am rooting for legit drought here now. Its freaking dry. Hard to believe the US drought monitor doesn't have abnormally dry for this area yet. 2.5" in the last month at near peak sun angle/max high temps just won't cut it. Most of that fell in 6 hours 3 weeks ago.

Same here.

I think I would win based on the sandy/silty soil here. When its dry, and the vegetation burns off, it looks like a desert lol.

The CAMs- esp HRRR and 3k NAM- are focusing the convection along the bays and towards the beaches, and also in the higher terrain. Nothing much anywhere else. Makes sense given the lack of forcing/weak shear. I am sure I will see plenty of towers in the distance from my desert oasis(er, hell).

I 100% believe this will happen.

Barring some unforeseen multiple day deluge(lol yeah right), at least I will be able to comfortably reconstruct my lawn in another month or so without being eaten alive. Late last summer/early fall was horrific on multiple fronts- humid as hell and aggressive mosquitoes. Deet? Pffft. I had to wear long sleeves and pants and cover my head to function- and hope I didn't pass out lol.

Totally boring. Usually is this time of year. Hot and dry. I haven't mowed in 3 weeks. Even the clover has burned in the full sun areas. No mosquitoes though.

I would live in coastal Maine in a heartbeat. It's on my list. Gorgeous, not as brutally cold as places in the interior, and still gets plenty of snow.

There are a few in the MA sub who do the same thing wrt DCA temps. "blame the sensor". It's absurd. Platinum RTDs don't randomly become erratic or read high.

At least the models are consistently bad through the seasons with predicting it. I must say though, it is so awesome to have this persistent -NAO for the summer!

That looks precarious lol. What a strange location to put a house- low, essentially in the water, with what looks like a major road directly behind it. Should have been elevated on stilts/pilings.

Once we get into winter the LR guidance will perpetually advertise a big NA block that will never materialize in real time.

Interesting read from Mount Holly. Didn't see this update, which is a couple hours old now.. 715 pm update: This was supposed to be a quiet(er) evening... Light rain/showers continue to plague Delmarva and coastal New Jersey early this evening. The post-frontal low-level environment and the unusually cold air aloft have combined to create a favorable environment for cold-air funnels on the northwest side of the precipitation shield. Several reports of these have been received from the Fenwick Island area, on upper portions of Delaware Bay, as well as the southeast New Jersey coast. These are expected to remain off the surface (i.e., harmless). Meanwhile, an ambient/slow-moving boundary/region of confluent low-level flow is generating showers along the western shore of Chesapeake Bay north-northeast into far southeast Pennsylvania and adjacent portions of New Jersey. These showers are developing in a still-favorable environment for occasional downpours (given the preexisting moist low-level environment). Would not be surprised to see a few spots receive a quick quarter to half inch of rain in these downpours. Given the slow movement of the confluent zone, some locally heavy rain may occur with the strongest/most persistent showers.

Yeah looks like a very localized, intense cell, and barely moving. Odd given the front has passed to the southeast. Marine warning too.

I got just enough to completely wet most surfaces. Not a hint of a puddle on my driveway though. I was outside soaking the plants with the hose while the ineffective light rain was falling lol. Felt nice with the cool air and not a single mosquito harassing me.

Yes 0.2" of rain is just what I wanted!

Actually a moderate downpour happening here now. Yellow radar return! Best rain of the last 10 days

It's been barely enough to dampen the top 1/16" of soil lol. Pathetic "event".

Thats my yard lol. Places 2-3 miles from here have had twice as much or more rain this month- which is still low compared to many areas further west.

One thing I do love about my own personal month long rain shield- zero mosquitoes.