CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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lol snow map isnt much different than 12z, when everyone was chipper.
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Late week storm still on the table per the 18z GEFS. I think we know its probably a light event if it happens.
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Pretty persistent signal across guidance over the last few runs for this type of setup. Big storm potential with significant moisture overrunning cold HP.
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There were some runs that had a decent signal. But not really consistent.
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Been sippin bourbon for hours. Replied to the wrong post lol. But yeah, still time for changes with my storm(lol) On to the 25th!
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Way off the coast. NE gets screwed too.
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Its pure suck. Prominent low is over the GLs. Coastal low will be too far north.
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Skunk job. My storm better have some balls this run lol.
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Congrats OC to VA Beach with that lol. Still not much.
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Gonna need the inverted trough thing with the low offshore NC
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Gonna be a bit north, but lets see
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The EPS supports this.
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Maybe there is enough time for it to morph into something else?
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My storm sucks on this run. There is a bit of a kicker problem- wait scratch that- that was the Ravens.. its a wave spacing issue. Timing/interplay between the shortwaves is not good. A phase in the Gulf of Maine wont work lol.
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Much of how this turns out appears to lie with the inverted trough feature and its location. 12z Euro has it further north than 6z. Would be nice if this was a simple UL low pass with a widespread few inches like you mentioned a couple days ago.
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Well that was the point of my post(the one you weenied lol). As is, the surface low develops a bit too late and gets going off the coast at our latitude. Great for those folks to our northeast.
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@aldie 22 so you are content with this outcome.. I'm hoping for a little better in your yard.
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I was told I had no choice by the man who runs this insane asylum.
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Would like to see a little more dig/sharpness here, and a tad bit negative with the orientation. Plenty of time with this one.
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Yeah my storm is going to make a lot more people happy.
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I was/am hoping it can morph into something more conventional. Big boom/bust with this depending on exact location.
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Wish I could lock this in though lol
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Looks like an inverted trough deal.. heavier snow is more localized eta- these features tend to end up further north than modeled.
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1.64" total. A bit more rain than I expected overnight.
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Can we get rid of kickers in football? Its about time- games shouldn't be decided by one dude who cant actually play football.
