CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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H5 on GEFS at the end almost identical to the EPS. Favorable look for cold and waves tracking just to the south along the thermal boundary. That EPO ridge gets significant cold in our nearby source region pretty quickly.
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I don't teach kids. I teach adults in the maritime industry- the engineers that are responsible for maintaining everything technical on ships. Sort of like specialized continuing education. I teach electrical/electronics with application in automation and networking.
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Just an op run a at range. The details will change. At this juncture its nice to see a storm pretty consistently showing up on guidance with the pattern becoming more favorable.
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Yep. Good track but a 50-50 ridge isnt what we want lol. I still like that period but we just cant know how all the players will interact to produce the ultimate outcome.
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Yes I am.
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Ok. My bad. It kinda came across differently. You could have articulated that better in your original post.
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How many 'epic patterns' have we seen advertised on guidance in recent winters that produced nothing? Plenty. Most of the snow we have gotten recently have occurred in gradient patterns with cold pressing south and a flat SE ridge leading in- very much like the EPS/Euro weeklies are depicting mid to late month.
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Ok. The latest EPS goes out to the 19th and looks like this- The Weeklies for the period beyond looks like this(anything prior to this is irrelevant-see the EPS) Looks like a continuation, and a pretty good look to me.
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The snowfall maps still exist even when they show nothing for a given region. You aren't this dumb. See WW's post.
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I still think there is a good chance we see snow mid month.
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Can we please ban all snowfall map posts in the medium-long range thread. Those who post them have no clue how this works lol. They should immediately be sent to banter or the digital snow thread.
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Ofc there is no chance of snow for the next week- we are moving into a well advertised mild pattern with temps in the 50s and maybe low 60s lol. This is in the shorter range when the ens members will naturally exhibit less spread- when we expect each of them to more accurately depict the actual outcome.
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You know how it goes at longer range on guidance- always spread/uncertainty, so don't expect to see the snow maps lit up on the mean. Since we aren't going to be in a 'good pattern' for another week or so, maybe stop looking at snow maps at D10+ and expecting to see digital blue over us, then having a hissy fit when you don't. At least keep it out of the discussion thread.
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Fucking hell
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Its early January lol.
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Nice gradient look. Just need a significant wave to ride along it and snow on us.
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Oh that's not happening
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Impressive h5 look tho
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LOL Mitchnick ninja'd me by like 10 seconds
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Hella impressive HL look. That EPO ridge though. Bring the cold and hopefully we get some moisture.
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Ens support for a little something on the 12th
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Southwest Flow Event. More of a New England thing. They get that setup a lot.
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More energy about to eject northeastward from the SW.
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Yeah baby
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The interplay between the shortwaves is off and what we end up with is more of a broad lobe with no real sharpness to it. What I do like is the surface set up- HP to the NW and LP to the NE. Fuck the GL Low bullshit. That's a fail almost always for our region.
