CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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3.2? And I wonder if those stations account for settling/compaction. I just measure what's there- what's otg at the time, not what's fallen. They definitely got some of the yellow bands that missed me. 3 miles away can make a difference with banding. eta- LOL I see now- 32.13. A bit of a malfunction. Actual depth there is 1.7" which seems about right.
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Just measured 1.5" several places otg in an area with no grass(moss/dirt) and is mostly shaded. Around 1.3" on the deck, which gets sun. Steady light snow continues to fall with a temp of 31 now.
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This backend stuff is accumulating better. A bit drier, higher ratio with the slight drop in temp and some wind. I'll measure again shortly.
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Maybe this last burst will do it. A bit of wind now and the temp down to 31.5.
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Yeah its super wet snow and with the inconsistent rates I cant seem to add to the inch I measured earlier.
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Big fat flakes coming down here currently. Closing in on an inch.
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lol recent Ninos have not been good here. Nina baby!
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Snowing hard now with nice sized dendrites. Seeing some yellow on radar. Hopefully this lasts for awhile.
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Man I hope Mt Holly was right about that 1-2" call.
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Temp fell to 32 here within an hour of precip starting but rates have generally been light since. That's the bigger problem when we are looking at a short duration event.
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Started snowing here around 330 but at 34 and light intensity, lost an hour to non accum snow. Temp right at 32 now but mostly light snow outside of one moderate burst. Quarter inch or so on the deck and looks like some better returns on radar might be moving in shortly.
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Actually moderate, but I will take 3-4. That seems to be the high end for here.
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Liking the latest HRRR runs. Has 4" here with the heavy band still ongoing at the end of the run.
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Lol rain. This is big boy shit. We aren't dealing with rain here lad.
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Apple weather app lol. Holy Shit. And you are an actual weather hobbyist?
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Yup. Understandable. Get under the FGEN bands and its a different story. Outside of that there is some uncertainty about how cold it gets how quick in conjunction with how long it actually snows moderately once it gets going.
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Probably. I always thought 3" was probably the max here. Just a bit odd how 'aggressive' they were this am and much less so now.
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The HRRR is inherently variable run to run. If you don't like the current edition, wait an hour and the next one might make ya feel a bit more warm and fuzzy. Take the avg of 5 runs, or, don't bother looking at it.
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38/29 Forecast here from Mount Holly is for 1-2" now, from 2-5 this morning. Most of the latest guidance is depicting the same, or more than the early am runs. They have their reasons. Probably temps at the beginning, and less likely to get in on the good banding- and a different crew making the forecast lol. Whatever falls, falls.
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You should let the run finish sometimes.
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It gets drier as other guidance is juicing up. Toss.
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Yup. Said that in my post last night too. Precip is developing earlier(further west) rather than right overhead.
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Yeah I'm a little late changing from my Fall pic aren't I?
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I told y'all in my post last night it was happening and why. It has been incremental over several runs as guidance has been getting a better handle on the h5 vorticity interactions.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think almost everyone sees an inch or 2. Mid shore 2-3, maybe 4 in a few spots. Upper and N DE there might be some 5-6" amounts. 12z GFS is nice- Juiced up quite a bit.
