CAPE

Yeah there really isnt that much difference at the surface or aloft.

Hard to believe with the competition among the snow map weenies to post them lol

Op runs at range tho. See what HH EPS has.

There isnt a sharp shortwave- vorticity ribbons are streaking eastward from the upper low out west underneath upper level jet streaks. There are differences-

Da fuck you talking about?

Don't you? You're odd man.

View from the kitchen window as I make a HH Old Fashioned.

Did pretty well with the last storm. Many runs depictiing significant snow while all other models had a well offshore coastal low and minimal impacts. And then there is this- So yeah

I was kinda done with this but if I can get 5-6" this would be the best winter here since 2015.

You been ninja'd

Love to see sprawling 1040 HP to the north/NW with a wave approaching from the SW.

If this look holds we have a decent chance for a few inches of snow. Timing is critical with that HP to the north given there is zero NA blocking. Looks good right here.

46 here after a high of 50. Snowpack dwindling but still about 80% coverage. When I look out my kitchen window I still see a snow covered landscape, from my wooded area to the farm field beyond. I think there have been 26 days with snow otg this winter. Pretty impressive.

Reposting this here I guess. Linked from the other thread.

He is delusional. He wont stop.

Timing not resolved at this range.. need that HP to be robust to have a shot at frozen.

Cant lie, I am looking forward to the 50s this weekend, and we shall see what happens early next week. Good luck to the NW crew - hope the wave is significant enough to produce with decent HP to the north. Looks like we all see upper 50s/ low 60s the following weekend as of now.

From Mt Holly AFD- Another low pressure may move into the region early next week, producing another chance of wintry weather. Milder weather will prevail over the weekend in the wake of the Thursday night system, with highs in the 40s for much of the region Friday-Sunday and possibly topping 50 in some areas Saturday. This should help melt some of the existing snow pack. However, a front will send more cold air into the region later Sunday, and hot on its heals some guidance depicts a wave of low pressure riding eastward into the region for Monday. With fresh cold air in place, more wintry weather is certainly possible, though its notable that not all guidance is showing a significant system, some guidance depicting the system much weaker and drier. Thus, while its definitely on our radar, there`s not much more to say about it just yet. This could be a bit more substantial than what we`re expecting tonight/Wednesday and Thursday/Thursday night, but doesn`t currently appear to have potential for a *major* event. More of a run-of-the-mill winter system, if it pans out.

High of 33 after a low of 23. A lot less melting today than yesterday. Still 5" otg most places

March 2-3 still looking interesting with a weakish wave moving eastward underneath cold HP to the north.

What makes you think we should get an HECS next year? Just because a Nino looks likely? And no one knows what the character of it will be at this juncture.

That must have been a hell of a band to produce that much difference in an hour lol