CAPE
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A second round of potentially heavy rain looks possible as suggested on some of the guidance for Friday night and Saturday as the front possibly slows/stalls with disturbances riding along it. Probably favors places S and E along the coast.
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As expected, now in the mode of stepping it down. Now a half to one inch possible for that period. Some places might see quite a bit more, and others next to nothing. Not sure why they don't stick to the standard 'tenth of an inch except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms' wording for these situations.
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Mount Holly going bullish again for heavy rain tomorrow/tomorrow night, with 1.5-2" forecast for an event that will have hits and misses.
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Baz probably wishes he had been traded. 4-13 lol. Never any run support. Pathetic.
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I say that almost everyday
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Rain done. Still impressive thunder. 0.85"
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Pouring again with booming thunder. Enjoyable storm.
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Figures I would get a storm on a low pops day after the failure of a high probability of "heavy rain" yesterday. Lots of thunder on the back edge of this. 0.58" and still raining. Much needed.
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Still in the zone of nothingness lol. Ridgely getting crushed 3 miles to my SW. That back edge to the NW is gonna have to do it.
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Kind of looks like it. Lots of thunder. We shall see.
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The usual lol
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His initial prognosis was 2-5 years to live. He lived for almost 20 years with this awful disease. He played like a Raven. What a fighter. RIP.
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I have seen this too many times a few days out, and the NWS(Mount Holly) seems to forget the HREF tool is pretty useful when making their forecasts in the short term this time of year where the haves/have nots are difficult to pin down. Somewhat interesting the WPC is including areas in the potential heavy rain area that have been consistently missed in the last 3 weeks. I will believe it when I see it.
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Hate to see it. Os are in the playoffs if the season ended today lol. American league is a disaster outside of 3 teams.
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Pretty embarrassing. Seems his mom should maybe stay out of his business. Its a fucking number ffs. This is petty, and not a good look. https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/jayden-daniels-learned-valuable-costly-134824975.html
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0.01 here Surprised the rain gauge registered anything
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And the RRFS that WW is constantly posting is the next generation? That fucking thing is terrible too.
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Impressive how often there has been heavy rain wording in the AFDs with inch+ amounts in the forecast that literally yield nothing. All summer long. They must be just using AI or guessing because the globals are awful with resolving convection(not their forte) and all the mesos suck and are always all over the place. Today is a classic example. Need better hi-res models I guess. When they all depict different outcomes run to run something isn't working right. Too many forecast busts tell the story.
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Yet another turd here lol S MD and down towards Richmond looking pretty good.
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Bold prediction: The Os never get above .500 and miss out on the final WC spot by one game
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Still a quarter to half inch in the forecast for tonight. Only meso model that has anything close to that is the latest run of the HRRR, which will be completely different in an hour. Can't wait for the atmospheric response to the Nino to fully kick in. Actually looking foreword to a dreary Fall with lots of rain lol.
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Slightly wet ground. Is this it? Yesterday's forecast was for a half inch today and up to an inch tonight. LOL This has been a recurring trend with the forecasts here for months.
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Typically Fall. Probably not until October.
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The meso guidance looks awful for today/tonight. It's going dry again after finally getting an above normal month in July. Still in a severe drought.
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I'm on the schedule to get the deck boards replaced in early October it looks like at this point. See how it goes. Could put off the finish until Spring if necessary, NBD. But yeah lets schedule an estimate sometime before you go off on your winter snow chase. Jealous!
