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Everything posted by CAPE
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AI isn't the best as we approach gametime where small scale details matter. Rely on the physics based guidance at this juncture.
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Where's Chuck? Cowbell +PNA baby
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Pretty much every member depicts the same thing. Like no spread.
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Almost exactly the same, which is what you would expect at this point.
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If this comes to fruition the GFS is a champ, and all other guidance are chumps. It figured out the complex interplay of the individual pieces of vorticity and once it locked on it never waivered.
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Damn
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Have a few voddy tonics and a gummy
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I wasn't here at that time but the P-day blizzard of 79 was epic.
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0z Natty Blend. Pretty.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah all the students will arrive on Saturday. I have to make it there or they have no teacher lol -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'll probably need to go to Easton Sunday evening and stay at the school for my class that starts at 8am. Hate to not be home for this but it is what it is. Driving in early Monday morning with potential blizzard conditions is probably not a good idea. They have a bar there so I'll be fine. -
Not speaking of the NBM specifically, but rather ratios in general- some of the modeled soundings show very impressive vertical lift(omega) through the DGZ with surface temps at 32 over this way at certain points in the storm- how high could the ratios be in that scenario? 15-1 maybe?
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The February 22-23 Late Season Miracle: JV Disco/Banter Thread
CAPE replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don't think money is the problem. -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Latest EPS Its happening -
18z EPS looks really good. Getting there.
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Good man. Hell of a sacrifice.
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What did I miss? Da hell are you doing there?
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Looks like that crazy GFS model may have had the right idea all along.
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Not sure its that warm. It was mostly frozen a week or so ago.
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The February 22-23 Late Season Miracle: JV Disco/Banter Thread
CAPE replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Don't be so pedantic lol. -
Mt PSU is gonna get 15". Book it lol.
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Well shit
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There are always analogs, but at this point who cares lol. PSU would be the one to ask.
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Where is Chuck? I got a fever, and the only prescription.. is more +PNA baby!
