CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Not sure the NW precip expansion is quite done yet. Pretty good chance an inch+ makes it to I-95 or a bit NW.
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@Ellinwood map looking pretty good.
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Total Kuchera, c'mon man! Down this way we don't get anything from the Saturday deal.
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Hell of a cutoff but I will take it. The NW trend is undeniable across guidance. Its not done yet.. Cape storm lives!
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Op runs flip flop around- its just the nature of deterministic guidance 4+ days out. Check out the 18z ens mean. Low 40s with SW flow ahead of a major cold front is exactly what is expected in mid winter. The "good" period(we hope) begins just beyond this.
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Looks alike a healthy cold front approaching at the end with some snow associated with a wave along it. Sure its a bit warmish out in front as it always is in these cases, but nothing 'good' was expected until just beyond this time.
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Still good!
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The GFS really accentuates the downsloping 'dryness' for places east of the western highlands. That seems way overdone.
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Fun ass run for a Friday HH. It will all change ofc but a clearly strong signal is there for the last week of the month.
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fuck gotta do kuchera
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Too zoomed in. Cant leave out the S DE jackpot
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Yeah I got it now. That's Chuck's baby btw Until he makes a -PNA post then it becomes N Arlington's
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Can't see precip. effin WB lol that low location looks good tho
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LOL WB is so fucking slow. I'm always behind. I'll shut up.
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Here we go
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Lets see how much energy ejects eastward from the SW. I think that's what did it on the previous run for around the 26-27th
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Shortwave coming in overtop caused it to dampen. Crushed it so to speak.
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Good year round crab house there.. oh fuck.. I'm talkin bout blue crabs! Costas Inn
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18z GFS a bit of a step back, depending on location. A little worse for me, but still close to 2 inches, but better for S DE, damn near 4". I might consider a trip to Rehoboth since I'm off for MLK day.
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You're in on it for Sunday on the AI guidance. Hopefully the op runs keep ticking NW/expanding the precip field the next few cycles.
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Maybe in retrospect a separate thread might have been better- we have 2 camps of folks in here talking past each other lol
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I mentioned this in my earlier post wrt the GFS- it has had this general area situated under that region-also a more impressive jet streak than the Euro.
