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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was gonna say, but didn't care enough...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been saying that 1/16 to 1/17 is the first bonafide threat.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Watch it pull a 1978.....January 26, 1978-
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    You wonder if long range guidance refusing to ever avail of a great pattern in any of the runs is actually a good sign...
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Please keep us posted
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was suprised, too....I only had a coating on Jan 8, then 20.5" Jan 12, 5" Jan 18, 1" Jan 19, 8.5" Jan 21, .5" Jan 25, 12.5" Jan 26-27, 13.5" Feb 1-2, 2" Feb 7-8
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have always been in your camp that the PV recovers in Feb, but Cohen is saying this is indeed a major event by definition.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've seen him online, but nothing to really post about.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking back at my records, Jan 2011 didn't really get going until the blizzard on the 12th....seasonal totals were pretty comparable to right now. Still time....again, I'm betting against a repeat of that, but the big tickets are unlikely to really show before 3-5 days lead time.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotta love how everyone has mourned the scarcity of the NAO over the past several years, now we have it for a month and a half and it's netted one warning event that still deposited the very heavy snows well north and inland. Lol
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey @Isotherm, why is it that this article views the SSW as major, and you do not? Thanks.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure I buy the antecedent pattern being a big deal going into the SSW....sure, a good pattern already in place can't hurt, but look at Feb 2018...it was like 60-70 all month, then all hell broke loose.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. That is the potential monkey wrench in the warm Feb idea....could be like a Feb 2001, or Feb 96.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Too bad every SSW wasn't like Feb 2018.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I assume you preordered an ebook for Megan as a xmas gift?
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    The SSW is going to eat us all
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro was close.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Calling for a mid month cutter following the next two whiffs will certainly do just that.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just feel like while the long wave trough is great, the timing of the shortwaves is just off for our area. They blow up either west of us or east of us.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking at the EPS, I still notice that annoying tendency for waves to dampen out as they approach our longitude. Next real shot looks to be on 1/16, or thereabouts.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep. Definitely....the track nuances have nothing to do with the larger scale point.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Speaking to Will's point, I was saying yesterday that if we end up netting a big fish out of this, it will probably be with relatively little lead time, as was the case in Jan 2015. The northern stream has a penchant for doing that.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    1-3 above normal. Its because I make verbal tweaks to the analog composite.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you can invoke a Jan 2015 or Fe 2015 event, I'll pay someone to carve a statue of @Ginx snewx and his dogs in a snowbank.
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