I expected a mismatch period, but not one the magnitude of 2017 and 2020, which also encompassed December...I bit on a more tempered version like Jan 2022.
We'll see. 2020 was one of the elite QBO analogs I selected, so there is that.
Okay...looks like ORH it is, but that doesn't preclude some of us from gathering at Clarke's shortly before the holiday....they aren't mutually exclusive. Maybe let @weathafellatake the lead on that.
As far as the ORH gathering, I think its safe to move on to settling upon a date because we seem to have a strong concensus already.
I remember last winter I fell for long range guidance and started to think December may be colder than I had originally thought....not that it can't happen this season, but the moral of the story is that in this modern climate, one should be skeptical of sustained cold until you see the whites of the weenie.
Yea, I don't think the cold to begin December should be a suprise to anyone, as there have been hints for awhile now. What happens during the balance of the month is the question.