40/70 Benchmark

Yea, I'm just tempered by the lead time, at this point.

Eh.....sell.

I wouldn't hold your breath, and I see you haven't, as evidenced by the crickets chirping after the bet proposal.

This is what I mean.....some timing nuance in the longwave pattern is just off. Was also thinking 2015 inverse.

Obviously clown range, but that is a completely viable solution on the GFS IMO.

Yea, but you would think out of sheer luck one would wax as it nears....no breaks.

I know, but you would expect the timing of these nuances to change, and it has not.

You won't get my best material because we are on the verge of a good pattern.

I agree it will change, but it seems they always deamplify as they approach us.

I know that, but I mean relative to the life cycle of the SW...they are always at their nadir as they pass our longitude. Its like a longwave defect in the pattern for us this season.

I don't want it to fall apart...I honestly couldn't care any less, which is why I can't wait for the 4 of you to move to a CJ thread.

Should be more to come with this look.

Man, I would be pumped and starting a thread if I were you.

Looks like 00z, just a hair more amped.

Do you have any theory on why every, single SW this season has attenuated on approach to the region?

Dec 2003.

Well, both did....the 2001 one is legit, IMO.

You are thinking of March 2001....it was 40"+ around Lee, NH....

Yea, just up the road from me. We have spoken about that area before. I dated a girl from Amesbury 10 years ago....nice town.

Try being me in in 12/5/03....11", my dad 8 miles away had 26"....10 miles east of me had about 38".

Rain/snow line, or dry slot?

Feb 2006 was Meh for me....not a high level disappointment, but lame, nonetheless. I had like 16"....like you, I am looking at the mega band out west, expecting it to come east because I had no clue about the mid levels then.

Dishonorable Mention: Boxing Day 2009, 12/17/2020, and March 2019.

Jan 8, 96 would be on this list if I had lived in Methuen, then.....but thankfully, I was in Wilmington.

My three most traumatic events are PD II (1 foot subby hole, surrounded by 2 foot reports), 12/5/03 (1 foot subby hole surrounded by 2-3' reports just 5 miles away), and the second event in Dec 1996, which did to me pretty much exactly what Dec 1992 did to Scott. I was sweating the R/S line headed into it. It started pounding heavy snow, and I have just had a good 6-8" in the first event....I'm thinking, "this is great, we're off...I'll have a great pack headed into the holidays". Then, bang...its pouring after 2" of slush, and I hear a report from the next town over in Billerica that its dumping paste with 5". A few hours later I see Cantore spontaneously ejaculate amid the glow of lighting on camera, and the etching of an eternal scar was complete.