40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I don't think that block is going anywhere....more worried about the SW lu--- ah, chaos.
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I had about 18" that run....won't bother with the map unless this is there through the weekend-
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LOL Right...this run is obviously the ceiling.....
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Ends up like a mini 3/5/01.
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I think if the heights crash enough, we can alleviate that, somewhat....like a mini 2015 type deal....the gradient is displaced more to the south that run, since the ambient heights are so low in the NE.
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Looks like the difference was that the SW energy was more proficiently ejected into the N stream energy that came over the EPO ridge...the SW energy was more lethargic in joining the fray on 00z.
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That is the legit upside that we were talking about. Note how it goes from the 1001 to 990mb in 6 hours under LI.....that is what you want for good banding, as the rate of deepening is due to the mid levels coming together. You don't need to see a 960mb low for a major storm.
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Yea, that period of the first legit threat.
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Hope for a coating.
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Of course, I just mean general odds based on the pattern.
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Looks like the first real threats are a week from tomorrow, and then the following Monday (1/26). One of those will probably whiff or graze us.
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I do need to step away for a few days, but this place is like a damn drug. This long weekend I probably will.
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I'm not broken at all....life is better than I had ever imagined. Just sucks having more free time at the new job, but nothing to track.
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How are you feeling these days? Hope you are better.
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Poor MJO, everytime the guy open his mouth, a slew of weenies get cranked in it lol
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Hope they are better than the EURO thermals if you want your N Berkshire 1-2"....I think I'd prefer bitching about the Hadley Cell lol:
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I agree with you...I think that is the path to a really significant snow event, as I'm not crazy about a big coastal until maybe near the end of the month.
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Here is life with the Hadley Cell factored in:
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That is quite a se ridge on the long range GFS...wow. Nice overunning.
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I know the Tip Cell exists.....don't sweat it.
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You will, but there will just be no cold air to be found and it will be rain.
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I would place Steve at the other end of the spectrum...that guy would get fired up over a report of dew up in Tickass, ME, then come up with a graph illustrating it from some esoteric sight at a moments notice. Gotta admire his passion...
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Odds are they won't all miss, but its just shows the risk.
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You are in for it, brother....he is going to wrap that 348 page AMS article around your neck-
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He certainly wouldn't save me from the damn Hadley Cell...dude would toss his own mother into the jaws of the ever expanding Hadley monster.
