Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    71,961

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    South coast climo is void of Miller B impact?? News to me.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....the coast and the interior. That about covers it. Is there an underground world that I'm not privy to, which is immune to Miller B systems?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, its time....F5 already fired up and now time to invoke Wxbell. Looks like game-on for at least a while here in the early season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ninjaed.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can get rather potent N stream systems appear with relatively short lead times.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know, just saying...not disappointed.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've never engaged this fraud event.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I incorporated your methodology to add confidence to the general mismatch idea, but I honed in on the WPO due to an area of anomalus warmth over the western Pacific. I do think we will see more competing influences over the course of the season. I thought January would be the most wintry month, but perhaps it will be December, instead.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I agree. We are seeing cracks in the foundation of this regime, at long last. Light at the end of the warm pool.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would amend it and say "above 700' north of pilke", but I still think its mostly a VT, NH, ME deal.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I defintely gambled a bit and went against the consensus on ENSO.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jesus, I feel like @snowman19
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    A decent snow event across most of SNE....I know you aren't forecasting that per se, and are merely communicating what the data is indicating.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am conflicted because as much as I love snow and winter, I also love being right and I need the pattern to go to shit to not end up with egg on my fact for the month of December. I still think we are quite mild by Christmas.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is the scenario that I ultimately went with. Over the summer and early into the fall, if you followd my updates, I was advertising a weak to moderate La Nina with the 2008-2009 event as the floor. However, later in the fall it became clear that the "floor"scenario was becoming most likely.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    My idea of a big -WPO this season is certainly off to a good start.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good luck with that.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ukie is a nice illustration of the limitations of this system...the ceiling is an elevation event. Next (AFIC)-
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    1996. 1997 was the 8"/hr bomb in Ayer on the eve of Xmas eve.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is the first year I have addressed the WPO, which is in response to having it derail my outlook last year.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have zero doubt it will be different this year. If you read my work from last week, the WPO signal was pretty glaring..right up there with 2013.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lots of idiots on social media hyping a Black Friday Blizzard.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not the worst thing in the world to lay down a pack in NNE for the onset of climo winter.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think a couple of inches of slop are possible for me, albeit not particularly likely.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gonna decide tomorrow whether or not its worth previewing this.
×
×
  • Create New...