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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 12". Honestly, dude...you can have my string of 3" events the past several years in exchange for one HECS.....trade I'd gladly make.
  2. Its regression, dude...deal with it. How many CJ jackpots did you have last decade? Man, what a baby lol
  3. Because of the west Pacific, but its seems to have slackened a bit.
  4. Don't think it will, but if it does, oh well....I had decent snowfall in January 2022 and last January I had one of the best events of my life. I expect a shitty season overall, but just going to take whatever I can get.
  5. Go a decade without a normal snowfall season.....I guess I am king of the ratters, yay.
  6. Not my point...its going to suck for me, too....difference is I was mentally prepared for it.
  7. Man, anger is already propagating in scooter.....he's ready to split.
  8. Well, what is your December climo, 5"?? Normally its all you can ask for this month.
  9. At least SE Canada looks to be building up a pack....that will pay dividends next month.
  10. I'm at acceptance...but then when the next KU-to-be devolves into a cutter at day 3, then the cycle starts a new.
  11. It should, but then again, we are going to be coming due for the next super El Nino by then ....1982-1997-2015- 2030-2033. I think it probably gets set in motion by another great stretch near the turn of the decade and into the very early portion of next decade, like 14-15 into 15-16, so probably more like 2032-2033...especially considering last year's event was pretty strong. 1982 came ten years after the 1972-1973 "El Nina"....another reason 2032-2033 makes perfect sense for a super warm ENSO.
  12. Great example of why the only bias these guys have is a "correct" bias...call 'em as they see 'em. The warmth bias crap is really frustration over the past several winters being projected onto them. Ball busting is one thing, but the I suspect some are serious with that crap.
  13. I had at least 1' in Wilmington...very impressive...probably like 13-15".
  14. It wasn't a squall...it was incedibly intense banding in a coastal storm. I remeber it like yesterday from my perspective in Wilmington...it was impressive enough coming out of school to that mess, as they didn't even release us early. But I wasn't in Ayer, no.
  15. No we aren't...not if you aren't looking for a 2010-2011 redux. However, most of us understand that and are simply looking for a mismatch period, which I happen to think is a good bet next month.
  16. I honeslty don't want it, but my area is at risk for it.
  17. No one is denying that, but in a more stochastic sense, it still does come down to luck at the end of the day....its just that in a more hostile regime, the deck is more stacked against you. You still need to draw a favorable hand, regardless....which is possible in a bad pattern, especially in SNE. NYC is tougher to score in bad pattern, I agree.
  18. Yea, perhaps some obfuscation there on my part.....was just an anecdotal comment. But I do think we are going to see some overzealous holiday week model runs along the way, which is really my point.
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