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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. But I would rather see that, then needing a PV lobe to drop 200 mi furhter south...this is more correctable.
  2. Yea, will creep up and look like 2024 Mike Tyson when it arrives here...occluded has-been.
  3. You know what I mean.....generally speaking, has that flavor...not to mention a coarse, long range snowfall output product will not aqequately resolve meso features such as CFs, so it may every well verify with a steeper gradient as is.
  4. One month comes to mind looking at this image....mid Dec-mid Jan 2002-2003, all day long. Not a forecast...just speaking to what this image evokes.
  5. Feb 2015 is my record for depth in Wilmington...high 30's. Safely over 3', but under 40". I'd say second was January 1996 and 3rd January 2011.
  6. That is the path for me to bust warm in Dec....have the January flip occur the holiday week, which has always been on the table...I just erred on the side of caution after being burned so many times recently. Having it be a timing error is much more palatable from a forecasting perspective, as well, rather than totally botching the pattern.
  7. No, I totally agree and was thinking the same as I typed....I resonded in a very literal manner. This is more like a CC modified 2010 type of start, potentially. 2/3 of those 3 seasons I mentioned were pretty discrete, well timed gifts from above. 2017 being the exception...that was a great season, aside from the Feb bloodbath.
  8. Gonna go out on a limb and say that we have suceeded in getting the Grinch to grant us a holiday reprieve by showing up early...pretty solid cross ensemble convergence on a nice pattern around the holiday, with the Canadian being the most subdued. Hopefully we get the nice pattern to set in earlier than I had expected.
  9. I have seen him make that connection countless times when its a paltry omen. ..but obviously agreed RE the inherent limitations.
  10. I'm not sure we have had a season that included a coastal snower INVO Xmas that went onto suck....perhaps an unwiritten rule that I should go ahead and write....ah, NVM...1997. I still think its a good batting average, though and that season is an understandable exception with the juggernaut El Nino. In fact, I have always been of the opinion that that season would have rocked with a more pedestrian ENSO.
  11. Heh....wanna brighten your Thursday, have a gander at those snowfall seasons....of course, Fisher doesn't go there in this instance, but he is always sure to when its the other direction.
  12. We lost power in Woburn....thankfully, I was just finishing up at the GYM when it went black.
  13. Looks like I may have something to write about soon. Agreed, like that +pp...pretty much textbook positioning for east coast fun and games.
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