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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I mean...all of this crap about the west warm pool having the jet get to active, and having too much compression for coastals....where are these factors to prevent the Hudson valley cyclops?? (facetious undertone...not questioning CC)
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    If the GEM and EURO allowed a monnster coastal to come up because the GFS had the northern stream pressing down, guess which camp would be right? In this case, its undoubtedly the GEM/EURO.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not to make this political...any party....any person, who relieves someone else of their job should do so with tact. Seeing video of Musk running around with a chainsaw when referencing the firings was barbaric and nauseating. This has zero to do with his policy....maybe the cut downs will be the best decision ever. Not the point.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have told you I didn't love either one of them.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never know, maybe I'll start tracking incidence of swamp ass
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    49.1
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't know because I'm always focused on MBY.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, better shot of Kev hosting the next Democratic Convention.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love the gradient from 12.5" to zippo over lke 5 miles in NE PA.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    43.9
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think mine will be...main roads, sure...maybe the area under my pine tree, but I think I maintain mostly coverage.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is another gradient on the north side of 128...once you hit Woburn and especially Wilmington.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep, understood.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is your pack like....24-30"?
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't even referring to that.....I'm just considering the fact that we just came off of a triple deep La Nina two years ago and another weak one this year. Looking back historically, I highly doubt another one next year.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Their terrible years are still near 100".
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I stayed above freezing...only down to 37.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. Doesn't mean the month will be cold any snowy, but not that magnitude of warmth in the monthly mean...very well maybe above average, though.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its evident that that won't be the case, though.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd be careful about slipping into the defeatist "whoa is me" meterorological stupor type of trap.....things are changing on a multidecadal scale. As far as the "CC will not allow for any more coastal track seasons" philosophy goes.....my only response is to wait and see because nothing anyone says will change your mind.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just a cursory glace at some very preliminary stuff...I'll go on record right now as saying I'll be shocked if there is another La Nina next year. I call BS on the guidance....I could fathom a neutral, but warm ENSO would not suprise me in the least.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why do you say that? My early hedge is to expect a lot of them next year.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can probably eliminate that magnitude of positive monthly anomaly just based off of how the first third of the month looks:
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    La Nina is the early betting favorite, but I am far from convinced. I would not be shocked to see a weaker El Nino.
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