40/70 Benchmark

Still useless from my perspective....

Luckily for me we cancelled the gathering

Getting warmer...I've gone from open mocking to quiet contemplation...

If you get what that 10:1 map implies, I'll shave ineedsnow into @CoastalWx's back

Edge of my seat for that ...let me know what East Cowrectum gets

Must not be good given the 12 min gap.

If I wake up at 4am and the last post is from @ineedsnowor @MJO812, then I'll know an angel got its buns.

I honestly will not....but if somehow I woke up and it looked good, then I'd be hooked.

It would be cool to whiff se this month...already pulled off sw, w, nw and ne

Say it with me..."One more move like that....."

Yea, right after I write on my next bowel movement.

Yea, we are essentially saying the same thing, but Chris and I just have slightly different perspectives....no biggie. Not arguing his basic point.

All of them are KUs.....the acronyms are subsets that are parsed by severity.

Yea, that portion of CT has a good month. No question.

It may suck some in, but it may not, just have to wait and see??

No, I've been correct. You may sit on a tulip and spin all you like, but I prefer to live on planet reality.

Here are my thoughts from last month....hopefully my timing isn't off, but confident the general idea for the season is right. Mismatch period def. got started earlier than I though in December... January 2025 Outlook January Analogs: 2022x2, 2023, 2014, 2000,1974 The "mismatch" month should be the one true winter month this season. Ironically enough, it will be accompanied by an intensifying polar vortex, as the -WPO/+PNA should allow the cold to compete with the warmth in both duration and magnitude. The cold should not be as anomalous overall as some of the other mismatch periods, as New England will finish anywhere from near normal to 2F above average and the mid Atlantic from 1 to 3F above average. The region should be on the look out for a powerful Miller B KU type of event between January 21 and February 4, before the MJO makes another run for the MC near or shortly after the close of the month. Precipitation should near to perhaps slightly below average across the region, while snowfall is near to above normal. January MC Deviation Primarily Driven by -WPO

Its all good. Sorry for cluttering the dead storm thread. Happy Holidays.

Like I said, its both....unless its a flawless pattern that matches a poster on Paul Kocin's bedroom wall, one can always point out a reason(s) why a storm did not materialize. While the Pacific jet is undoubtedly a reason why this weekend won't work out, its wasn't completely prohibitive, either....that is the luck that I referred to. I didn't mean to imply that it was a textbook set up and it took awful luck to miss out on a blizzard.

Deflecting instead of ever owning any accountability in an exchange gone awry is going to foster more discord....at some point, it needs to just end.

While I got the idea of a mismatch period this season right, it clearly set in earlier than I had suspected, more in line with 2020....see how January goes, but it may end up that I had the right idea, but botched the timing of things. I never expected a cold month of January, but I do expect a nice Pacific, so if we get an RNA next month, it will be a sign that my timing is def. off.

You seem to resort to defense mechanisms instead of just owning it and moving on. Moving on-

Clearly the issues that Chris has correctly identified with the Pacific are more prohibitive to large snowfalls further south....no question.