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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not true at all.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pretty much anything abeam of the NH/MA border and points up into the GOM is what is relevant for me. If I am getting SE winds off of Mass Bay, then it's not my storm, anyway.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure the increased gradient will save us since storms can't phase any more.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I must have looked at incorrect info then. Have to imagine they're down at least another degree after this weekend.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like SSTs are around 35-36 BEFORE this weekend....man, please get a juicy hugger in here to lather me up with deep layer east fetch.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice. I had -1 to -1.2 as the forecast peak RONI range.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS has one decent warning even next Thursday night NOP, followed by a slightly larger region-wide deal over the weekend. Still willing to take the under on that period as a whole....06z GFS is probably a reasonable ceiling.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ha..I see by the post count Euro didn't offer up an encore to 12z.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm putting more weight in the day 10-11 range than I am AI guidance.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Was that 33.2" on the level at rhe end, or 6 hourly measurements?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I need more....still considered pipe dream for me.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    "Likes" is a strong word...looks pretty irrelevant.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, in the grand scheme of things, as much as you may not like it...a moderation to somewhat above average climo temps is a much more higher probability, and less anomalous outcome than a blizzard...which is why one is laughed at, and one isn't, regardless of skepticism being warranted. I mean...if someone makes up a story about you having blown Donald Trump, and one about you having gotten a speeding ticket...which will be met with less skepticism?
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, unremarkable.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been ignoring.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Could also be a case where it's a bit later, too.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea-pump that east wind
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, no.... That's the run we chase for 10 days only to never find again.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't seen anyone predicting a +PNA for February, but if so, I would agree that they are woefully misguided.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was thinking the same thing yesterday driving home...I'm like, I wish tonight's cloud deck had moved in middayish
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like a huge Norlun centered on CT over 1000'.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Erection slowly activated....
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I mean I'm not saying it can't whiff, either...it's just fraught with uncertainty, which is why I'm reluctant to bite into it. Made that mistake last week. I can just ignore if I don't introduce and it goes away.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I know...I was more referencing John's comment. Maybe he's right, but I would just be careful about expecting the same N Pac setup to have that exact, same result later in the season, as far as stifling storminess.
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