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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very hottest part is actually the next week.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyone have any idea when they are going to update the MEI?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I recall this happening last season....the PDO bottomed out last fall as if Armageddon loomed for winter enthusiasts, and then steadily reversed throughout last winter. Obviously it will remain at least somewhat negative throughout winter, though...as it did last season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, okay...I was talking about winter.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Like I said...not as bad as this week.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Next week doesn't look as hot...dews not withstanding.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kevin must be sprawled out nude on his lawn...laptop and syringe in hand just injecting this into his veins.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hate summer, but I keep it real...this is the heart of due season and other then a day or two repreive such as will be observed this weekend, its pretty much unabatred dews for a good 6 weeks.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a charmed, Charmin life-
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    From tomorrow through Friday the 25th is the climo peak, but I don't think anything will be palpable in terms of sensory appeal for a good month....and by that I don't just mean necessarily "cooler", but anything dectable by the senses, whether it be simply noting a lower sun and shorter day. Same deal in winter...no one notices anything until about the 2nd week of February...in summer its August.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never know in this "new, warmer climate"....I feel like two consecutive very dry winters will be tough to pull off...especially above anout 40 N, where we aren't so dependent upon the STJ and get more N stream action.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agreed.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it will be even more moot relative to climo given the stable state of the west Pacific.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    It would make sense if this were focused on the last 7-10 years or so....but four decades? the 90s, 00s and 10s were great for NE coastal snowfall. I haven't read it over, but it seems like they are exagerating the sample size to prematurely launch a west warm pool derived CC theory because they know there isn't enough data yet.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that was well forecast...I referenced it in my last blog update in June.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think it really matters whether the ONI peaks at -0.4 or -0.6...other than verification purposes. Won't change anything with respect to the outlook/impending weather pattern this cold season.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know someone posted the JJ MEI value, but any idea why it has't updated here? https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei/
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, next month.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's usually time to draw the shades and hide in the AC if you hate dews from now until about first week or two of September.....this next two months are usually awful, save for a rogue pleasant day or three-
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Completely agree here.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, but most of the warming is in the West Pacific, which biases the hemisphere towards a cool ENSO regime.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's safe to say everything correlates to La Niña in this "new, warmer climate".
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Which part do you want me to elaborate on?
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I expect a step back from last year in the extra tropical Pacific before a more concerted and consistent recovery takes place, thereafter.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think he strongly favors a 2013-2014 like impending winter season and is thus basically rip and reading the 2013 troipical output. I think there already is and is going to be a more established cool ENSO pardigm than evident that year.
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