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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. This is true. But I did see some pretty convincing composites from Bluewave. I guess we will have to see how much this secondary nadir of the Pac cold phase has biased things.
  2. Does anyone need to be convinced that ambient heights are greater now than in the past? Obviously that is going to make adjoining ridges more common. I do agree that extreme cases like 2022 will exaggerate that...
  3. I just said it isn't just two years. I've seen the composites.
  4. True, but there has undoubtedly been more of a tendency for the se ridge to adjoin with the negative NAO over thr past 15 years or so, which isn't favorable.
  5. How many times have we seen -NAO/RNA fail recently? CC is making that paradigm less auspicious.
  6. Probably a few outliers skewing the mean.
  7. -NAO blows here....thank god we get to smoke cirrus on the 6th instead of enduring a cutter before a blizzard.
  8. I wouldn't totally give up where you are....
  9. The ceiling on 1/6 for me is more frustration while seeing photos of Steve's dogs in the snow....pardon my lack of enthusiasm.
  10. EURO looks worse than the GFS for the 11th....really buries that SW energy.
  11. Yea, he loves him some warm and snowless.
  12. Glad I learned my lesson and still went below average snowfall on the season, despite the ostensibly "favorable" January Outlook.
  13. Its become easy for me to root against the need to maintain the blog with a 4th child due Friday...it really needs to be worth my while.
  14. Say what you will about the progged mean long wave pattern for January, but I have one more shot at avoiding hitting the midway point of the month with 2" of seasonal snowfall....should that occur, the avenue to a good season is a pretty narrow, dirt road. This is getting very tiresome.
  15. The NAO is an unwelcome development relative to my expectation for January last fall.
  16. Well I remember living HERE during the 2009-2010 season and it was the most frustrating meteorological experience of my life.
  17. I'd rather leave it where it is then see another shield of cirrus as CT to Jerry score again.
  18. I don't agree...January 6 is less likely to come to fruition for at least the nothern half of New England than it was a week ago. This is the reality and the point, rather than the models' reluctance to appease the masses.
  19. 100% percent honest....give me last year over 2009-2010. The January 2024 event made my season.
  20. That EPS signal for the 11th is absolutely immense...like 20/25 members I saw are over 1' for much of SNE.
  21. 11th has always been my first big hope....folks can play the long range bargaining chip all they want, but 1/6 is garbage.
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