40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Euro had it for a few runs, but they weren't consecutive.
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We aren't there yet IMO....you also have to factor in that this year has in fact deviated from the prohibitively warm regime.
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I think we have already stated to see the beginning of the end of this longer term Pacific pattern, and will continue to see big changes throughout the 2nd half of this decade.
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I think if we get a modest El Niño next season, it would bode very well for us.....TBH, 2014-2015 maybe a good analog. (Not implying 100").
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Nope.
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Nice sucker-hole right where its been since 2018.
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I just calculated my mean seasonal snowfall for the 2012-2013 through 2023-2024 season (last year)...60.5". Regression is over for me, so if this season blows, it should begin going back in the other direction.
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Depends which day....
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I think in general people get too invested in long range guidance, but I thought it was warranted last week.
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Dude, I have 5.5" halfway through winter and I average 62-63". That Jan 11 potential was not just modelology.....that was an incredibly prominent signal that had enormous tele connector support...many pro mets compared it to March 1993-east.
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It certainly shouldn't rat out on paper, but it does have kind of a 1979-1980 vibe...
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I'm trying to post less these days because not much of it would be constructive....just so fed up with the weather.
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I'm not saying there is zero chance of snow for the balance of January....but the way this season has gone, I'm not not getting my hopes up unless we are at least inside of 4 days. Seems as though there is a moderate ceiling there for the 20th, so if absolutely everything breaks right, maybe we enter February in double-digits.
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False. I made it abundantly clear that some light snows were still possible from the northern stream, but I had zero interest in it. This really isn't that confusing. Its mid January and my seasonal total wouldn't muster a warning event.....immensely frustrating first half and Saturday hasn't changed that.
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Phil, what exactly are you confused about? Chasing more moderate pots of gold at the end of the day 7 rainbow isn't exactly enthralling attm given the seasonal tend, but check back with me late week.
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3" didn't intrigue me, so I'm not sure what in the hell your point is.
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I see zero that intrigues me.
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2024-2025 La Nina
40/70 Benchmark replied to George001's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No harm in being wrong...especially for us amateurs. I learn the most when I'm wrong...which I def. was about December...January is going better. -
I think you may have finally gotten through to him.
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I'm not asking for snowmeggedon, I'm asking for climo... its been 7 years. This aptly demonstrates just how clueless you really are if you think the cold in and of itself is what this contingent yearns for. Cold in the absence of snow is the least desired outcome and immediately going cold and dry after years of prohibitive warmth is immensely frustrating.
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WPO is much different, but other than that...
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Here is the pattern this year....no wonder it's been a cesspool as far as activity for the NE. Now here is my season of futility...not the most disparate looks in the history of analogs....
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Earliest I have ever began my fantasy baseball draft prep.
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+3.5" 5.5" on the season.
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I had a pretty good month of January snowfall wise that year...active. 17.5"
