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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Don't sweat the motion....ever since @brooklynwx99ditched the home made movies, we are on a heater.
  2. Yea, I would be nervous if I were you, but I would wager that snowfall will be underestimated wherever the northern edge of the deformation sets up.....tremendous banding with that confluence...someone in NH and S ME would overachieve.
  3. That was absolutely run from my weather station...all down hill from that-
  4. Wow...just burning all of my clothing....5 alarm fire in Methuen
  5. I am comfortable disregarding the OP as a blip...for now.
  6. I don't love the OP doing that, but I won't be too perturbed if the ensemble mean at least holds its own or hopefully continues to improve.
  7. My hunch is that they are better than the OP.
  8. GEFS may very well look better than the OP.
  9. Even here...not really interested in a middling outcome.
  10. I'm sick of the atmosphere trying. Do better.
  11. Yea, but those who avoided it out on NYS had 25-40".
  12. GEFS have been known to be somewhat non dispersive at times...
  13. Yea, updating myself tomorrow if things hold pat- This SW energy phasing in is the escape clause I left myself from the "cold and dry" take in the Thursday night piece
  14. Yea, that EURO closes off 12 hours sooner and its one for the record books-
  15. Kutchie works better in deformation zones.
  16. Yes, I'd take 8" of mashies over a foot of sand while areas 10 mi east get 22".
  17. Not worried about this yet, but GFS is not ideal for us...better for Jersey, like Boxing Day. But I would rather need a later phase than earlier.
  18. Load Blown South West Occlusion/early cut off-capture.
  19. Good. All set with January 2022.
  20. When you enter the subform, shit is getting real-
  21. Still need to contend with the LBSW element, but first things first...
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