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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yup....NW to se above our latitude...usually not a recipe for taking the over on snowfall...said that all along, regardless of what guidance implied.
  2. Makes it seem pretty perilous for those dog lovers that pinned heavier hopes to the mesos.
  3. I honestly hope tonight underperforms.....it's just at a nightmare of a time. Just get me a big un or get out of my life winter, thanks.
  4. Yea, I thought about 2-4", but at the end of the day, I think 4" is pretty isolated.
  5. I'm really not surprised given the MJO....SWFE dearth I am.
  6. You'd hope for more than 1 warning event, though.
  7. No was that s stream is getting up here on the GFS.
  8. I've seen some tropical cyclones due that post landfall...bout it.
  9. 06z EPS definitely looks better poised than 00z to come up the coast. Slightly less ridging in the plains helps.
  10. Arctic air certainly provides margin for error...the great equalizer.
  11. I sense an aptitude deficit...you would think Cornell would have better prepared you.
  12. I don't think March will be warm, but we'll see. I agree we are going to warm up beforehand, though.
  13. Yea, goes both ways, too.....fast flow, MJO...I get it, but none of those are prohibitive in an ABSOLUTE sense, so we also could have more go right on the coast, too.
  14. It's been a good winter IMO. Normalish snowfall and well below normal temps. It's left plenty on the table, which is frustrating, but it's been nice overall.
  15. Who doesn't understand that the sun is getting higher? Jesus....
  16. I also feel as though the condescending tone isn't very helpful if the goal is increased acknowledgement and understanding....that turns people right the fu(k off....regardless of how true it is. You're basically telling people I'm right, so if you disagree, you're either an idiot and/or have serious psychological issues...now hear me out- Like...alrighttttty then....
  17. Well, I mean....we are all storm enthusiasts....I know for me, I understand, but it's not like I ignore guidance because I'm mindful of fast flow. Anomalies happen.....so while east coast blizzards may be more of an endangered species these days, they aren't yet extinct. I don't think remaining ever vigilant and hopeful despite an understanding of the faster flow and current tropical forcing tendencies is necessarily indicative of "an aptitude gap".
  18. I think the majority understand it and are just sick of hearing it-
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