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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Watch....there is going to be a slamming band right where the GFS has like 8" of snow.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It looks like I get into the N fringe of that, just as this area did in '97.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You have a decent shot of getting deformed.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where are you? I get less jackpot needy if I already have a great pack...I would be fine with like 16", too.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think so.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know this isn't a SWFE, but the NAM is usually pretty good at resolving mid level thermals within 48 hours.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    NAM has had that band locked since 12z while the GFS is ticking se and EURO is waffling. I am inclined to go NAM on that...especially since they often end up NW of where we think they will.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    18z EURO was Jan 2022.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    06z GFS had the death band about where I have it...from KASH to ORH..00Z has it from Taunton to KPYM. NAM has it a shade west of where I do...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEM shaved QPF a bit around here, but low is dead-on last run...IDK, I'm just not that spooked and call BS on the rug-pull.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've also learned that the best banding is usually NW of the best modeled QPF.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not seeing any of the mesos do that....and other than 00z, it was basically noise, yet it was still shaving QPF...I don't buy that because I think there will be a deformation zone west of me...makes zero sense.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not too worried about the GFS.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly what I was thinking...
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why is the NBM so bonkers when nothing else is that high? GFS and EURO are such lower...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't anticipate many changes if any.... First Call:
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is 00z NAM
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Can you run that for KLWM?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lowest was 9.5" and highest 14" yesterday...most common was 13"..but like I said, I added 4.5" of cement....though last inch or so was more fluff.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, because I'm sure it's greater than 10:1.....just saying it's not kuchera, though it maybe similar. my F5 site has a similar proprietary ratio formula.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's proprietary...not kuchera.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like this better than the wxbell version...where do you get that?
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    One saving grace with MRV where I am...yea, I'm prone to subsidence from low level deformation near the coast, as we all know...but I don't get shadowed here.
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