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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Pattern hasn't been perfect, but one would think we would have gotten more than we have...I mean, 'cmon....if this whiffs, I'm sitting at 2" crossing the midway point here on the NH border.
  2. Well, its also rare to get hardly any snow during a cold winter following several virtually snowless seasons, so there's that...
  3. I think its just the ICON doing ICON things, but its possible.
  4. People pass out before they even open the thread
  5. And the 6 paragraphs comprise just the title
  6. I'm leaning larger impact, yes....doesn't have to mean EMATT, or whatever the fuc( that acronym is.
  7. Seems as though the model is sniffing it out, but struggling to determine the intricacies of how the complex steam interaction/phasing will take place and probably won't until very close in.
  8. I think eventually we are going to see all hell break loose and wholesale commitment.
  9. That looks to me like a subtle commitment to more phasing...this, again, seems like an evolutionary solution that is in a state of flux.
  10. 18z EURO AI a hair better than 00z.
  11. 18z AI EURO pretty similar to 18z GFS to me through hr 114...Less held back w s stream energy but bit weaker w northern energy. PNA ridge less impressive, too.
  12. Kind of looks like GFS...maybe bit east of it. LBSW
  13. I think NYC had like 8" or something useless like that...ORH to Lowell to my area had like 32".
  14. Gave NYC like 3' like 60 hours out...I called for a later phase and ventured into the NYC thread to announce as much, and they were less than receptive. Mother nature OTOH ultimately was receptive.
  15. My opinion on this is that its akin to an inverted trough...is it physically plausible that it could be correct? Sure, but I don't view this as a LBSW threat and thus it is likely a provisional offering while the GFS figures out how to engineer our blizzard.
  16. No...Jan 2015 started like that.
  17. I'm less worried about N stream, anyway...not that it doesn't matter, but there is more time to correct that.
  18. Good news is their talent eval is so piss poor that it probably doesn't matter.
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