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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. January forecast did very well, although it was slightly colder than expected due to the unexpected late month -NAO. There is also a preview of what may be an active February included. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/.../remarkably...
  2. Off of the palm tree, off of Bemuda, nothing but net-
  3. 6" on an ensemble mean is pretty nuts for me at day 4, NVM the 14" in the cape. Agree 00z will slide back, but how much is key.
  4. I didn't view it closely, just saw the QPF...it's not actually west?
  5. I remember even Jan 2022 had boob lows...gave models fits with random weak-ass runs like 2 days out. Give it a day or two.
  6. Yea, I agree.....if I'm wrong, I'll admit...just had to in the other direction last week...but not there yet. This is precarious.
  7. I would hold off on the CC-gradient saturation victory laps....I get that was somewhat facetious, but honestly...lots more to be ironed out here.
  8. I'm still not convinced the convection-chase is the final outcome, but confidence lowering.
  9. Ok, probably time to worry, but I'd still give it through tomorrow.
  10. My sister had a summer house on Falmouth, but I didn't go. Never forgive myself...large event at home, but nothing I haven't seen 10x.
  11. 2005 was comparable to the worst 78 had to offer on the cape.
  12. Brutal...it was in the days leading into the funeral services for my dad. I remember desperately seeking an escape on my cell while gathered with family to clean out his home, only to find a White Juan redux in NS. Blustery, cold (dry) unsympathetic month that was-
  13. It could happen like that theoretically, but probably more changes incoming.
  14. Maybe it ends up missing, but I can tell you all of the pieces aren't nailed at this range...doesn't have to mean it shifts in our favor, but this isn't 100% accurate as modeled, either. Lots of elements interacting here.
  15. The only thing that has me bent over this month is the herniated disc I incurred from all of the shoveling....thanks, CC.
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