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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes...this fits with what I am saying about a decidedly +NAO season still having a period or two of extensive blocking...which don't have to mean a HECS necessarily, either. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, but things also appear to be linging up for a decent period or two of -NAO/-AO....it doesn't have to mean a -NAO/-AO season, nor does it have to mean a wall-to-wall omnipotent PV...ins fact, it most often somewhere in between. Think eclectic, and non-binary. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Someone not heeding the advice below may have been optimistic about the 2023-2024 El Nino due to the belief that the relatively paltry MEI and RONI values were more favorable for cold and snow opportunities in the east. I know that I was. This is a perfect example of why the post below is so crucial. One other peice of advice would be to not be afraid to admit mistakes and never stop learning. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This is why its important to be as multidimensional, exhuastive and all-encompassing as possible when doing an outlook...there are no silver bullets. 2011-2012 was also a moderately strong Modoki La Nina that occured during high solar. I think if I had to offer advice to anyone doing an outlook, that sentence would be read "be eclectic in your approach as possible and be ever mindful that nothing operates in a vacuum". -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Chris articulated it best when he said that the west warm pool was competing with, and masking the El Nino to an extent....this is why the RONI and especially the MEI were relatively low. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I'm optimistic about perhaps a-NAO month and a good period or two, but not the DM period in the mean. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
87.8 -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think the more reasonable ask is for a mismatch month....probably January if I had to guess. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Its a weather forum...more like dicks n dudes -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Its not anecdotal....winters are definitely warming more...my guess is because there is so much moisture around during summer these days. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We usually have at least one GTG among SNE members, usually around the holidays. We have them in CT sometimes....you should come if we have it down there. Most of them are in Worcester because of its central location...its relatively equidistant to many locales. Yea, totally sarcastic...obviously I know there is a great deal of validity to your posts. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I hit 89 yesterday...just missed. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Oh yea...M Cloudy 86.4 -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
You are such a sally...I have had 7 consecutive subpar seasons...sure, your lows are lower than mine, but you had a good a couple of good seasons in 20-21 and 21-22 capped off with an epic blizzard, which became yet another nightmare amongst my rolodex of sordid winter traumas. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Cora is a fine manager, but the relationship ran its course...he's only here because his family is rooted here, not because he is passionate about this team. He was the right hire last decade, when they were a veteran team closing on a title. He isn't the type of guy that likes to cultivate young talent. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
His plate discipline is Soto like. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I love their young core...but ownership and management needs to stop getting in their owm way, and need to start adding as opposed to just switching out pieces. Cora needs to go. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Not worried in the least about him. His skills so far are among the best rookies in the game. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I do watch the Sox mainly for Anthony, though. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Other games....I have the Extra Innings package. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I haven't been bit all season...beauty of sitting in an air conditioned room watching baseball. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I know its going to be an awful bout of SA that day, so they usually go hand in hand. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Sorry for the OT....I'll let Wiz discuss CAPE for next Monday...I'm sure that will get everyone's rocks off- -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Bugs die, so no pests....plants and grass die so no yard work, its comfortable and the weather is more interesting. NVM snowfall because I know someone like Scott is gong to vent about that in a response, but the storms are more noteworthy. All set with waiting 5 decades for a viable tropial threat or John Henry to shell out a deal for an interesting player. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Reason #132,432 why I can't stand summer. I can't wait until I stop sweating and everythng dies.
