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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I just crossed my mind today...1979-1980 is my futility year, and there is a striking resemblance...probably comes down to whether or not I get skunked on SWFE potential in Feb.
  2. I thought we were passed the S stream energy trail when I got relatively confident...I wasn't that worried about the N stream, but S stream regressing at the last moment changes everything.
  3. At least this way we don't have to be endure endless waves of West warm pool and phase 5 graphics....shove it up a different orifice; that one is inflamed-
  4. I want a total whiff it doesn't phase...all set parcing out the details between a dusting here and 5" in Attleboro.
  5. Kev will wake up in a couple of hours and express confidence in a nice, light to moderate 1-3" or 3-6" before setting off on his jog.
  6. That was last year....this is .79-'80.
  7. Agree. GEPS and EPS both modestly worse.
  8. Maybe EURO AI wins the day....def need another day or two to sort this out, but I am def. a bit more uneasy after entire 00z suite.
  9. Dead nuts on 12z @ 18z....great win for that model if it's right.
  10. EURO had a massive bust in this range just last year with that storm that went way supressed to the south in February. Disheartening, but not done yet.
  11. Looks worse......yea. Oh well...give it until tomorrow @ 12z. Still want to see the EPS.
  12. My mean snowfall plummeted from 3.5" to 3.3" (literally)....storm cancel.
  13. There is more tug toward the NW of the mean relative to 18z, too....so the mean is probably skewed by a few that jumped ship over the Andrea Gale.
  14. I mean, if some are slitting their wrists over this type of variance on a day 5+ ensemble mean, most of this forum needs to hop on my caseload...shit. I accept BCBS, HP, and Tufts.
  15. I honestly think it will be more amped.
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