This was in my blog update Monday night.
"While there is currently little support for a major stratospheric warming during the month of February, research implies that there is a threat from mid month into March. While the signal is not as strong as it was in recent analog years, such as 2018 and 2023, there are two reasons why this month should not be nearly as warm as other recent months of February, regardless of whether the PV remains of considerable intensity".