40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Look at the ridge placement in the mean this season....OFF of the coast, which seeminly places a bowling ball over the CONUS SW anytime we have a major phase attempt INVO the ne US. That is a recipe for failure, despite the cold look. Then, the mean vortex back east is right over us......again, in paper you look at that and take it....but its not an ideal paradigm for NE storm enthusiasts.
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Any reaction to my ideas? Agree...disagree?
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I'm climaxing as we speak.
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Alignment and timing is just off this year in what ostensibly, on paper appears to be a "good" pattern. Devil in details-
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Heh.....one issue that I see...when have we seen that PNA ridge placement before, as well as that feature over the CONUS SW??? Like, all season? That is why this won't phase properly IMHO....same issue Jan 11 had.
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Still there, but we need it to come together and right now guidance is indicating it won't.
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I know its a day 10 determinstic run....not the point. I think @Typhoon Tip nailed it yesterday when he interjected that it isn't the PV crushing everything, so much as it is just a poor phase attempt. But of course it will phase this weekend just fine....
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I mean....try to use objective-mind and tell me this is hopeless:
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Man, the PV drops in right behind that southern streamer on the EURO for the 20th.....that is close. I know, know.....we probably won't get the trend because nothing has gone right. I get it. Hey, Euro looks good for the 24th (ducks and runs)
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I hardly ever look at those...I don't get the fascination.
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Nobody.
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Dec 2022 all over again. Unreal.
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I don't think so.
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Well, he even mentioned that this also happened from 1982-1991...not to imply that CC is not occurring because it is....but John also understands that we have always had lean periods, independent of CC. They are warmer now, sure.
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You can't forecast that....you just wait it out and pray it stops at some point.
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It's crazy how the PV always engineers failure for SNE. It will either back up and provide a channel to cut, or refuse to phase in when we need it, or squash everything down to New Orleans after it allows a cutter.
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I love how the Atlantic accretes better than I do
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You know you're a "triple-bunner" when you refer to ice as being "contaminated" by sleet lol
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And
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Feb 1978?
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I wonder if that would help the one next week come further north, if we trend that PV NW....
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EPS is a close whiff , too now....man, this hobby has become as draining as following the Red Sox offseason.
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Maybe @brooklynwx99can post a movie to change the vibe?
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That would be an absolutely exceptional seasonal display of anal sodomy.
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GEFS have been a close brush for a couple of runs.
