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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I understand all of that, but just saying....that rule is geared toward technical La Niña seasons.
  2. Nor do we know that it will be a technical La Niña season, as the supposed ACE rules only apply to La Niña.
  3. 49.8 this AM...so refreshing. I know the usuals are about to bombard me with charts full of ridges...I get it. But it's simply a nice fall preview.
  4. "Well, in this new, warmer climate, guidance has consistently underestimated the southeast ridge, time of the MJO spent in (insert undesirable phase) and (insert undesired weather)".
  5. The peak of the impact on the NAO is 2-4 years post max, so its entitely conceivable we get a decent bout or two of blocking this year. That said, it will average positive, of course.
  6. This is a modest dose of good news for winter 2025-2026.
  7. Very reasonable look IMO. I don't expect a KU pipeline to become eestablished, but nor do I think it will be a prhibitvely warm bloodbath. Could be a pretty good latitudinal gradient around SNE/CNE.
  8. I have about 1.80"...will add it up with official measurment this PM. Good thing it went south.
  9. Tough to be nervous when dissapointment becomes baseline.
  10. Good luck with that given more cool ENSO...let me know how it works out-
  11. Good timing....I'll be traveling mid-month.
  12. I don't hate it because it slows the growth of the grass down...I don't water, I just maintain it.
  13. The second half of the summer has really pinned successive rain events south of the pike and over towards CT.
  14. Yea, I wanted to use it in my blog update last week....sucks.
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