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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Have a few more of those and then I'll send you a very fair trade proposal...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, looks like I had +.38 to +.68 for DM mean NAO.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Awesome...also means may NAO forecast was good because we were in lock-step on that this year.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Reasonable IMO.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is up to 3" above 1000 feet in ORH CO and N CT and perhaps several inches well above that in the Berks.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think 4" is probably reserved for the higher spots of the Berkshires.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right...not bothering. Marginal enough at low elervation this time of year....if out of banding, forget it. We're onto next season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will probably do that for most of the event since the best dynamics remain W of me.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Crazy how often this general theme has reoccured over the last several years...always either that, or about 10 mi north of me in NH.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I doubt its 3"+, but then again, I haven't a fu(k to give and have not viewed a model since early March-
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd take ass mist over 90s.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have zero snow to show for it...what do you have, 2" since March 1?? Keep it going?? I suppose its better than 90s...
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seasonal models often are too biased towards default ENSO regimes.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Strictly ENSO.....I don't mean it was the best analog overall...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I did expect the marginal La Nina to evolve into a Modoki event, which worked out. 2008-2009 was the best ENSO analog IMO.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    For sure.....kicked my ass in 2023, I made some adjustments and was better this season, though far from perfect. The +PNA/cooler temps was a bit of a curveball, but I did not oversell snowfall this time.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally. I get that its mildly exciting in some spots, but pardon me if I sleep through it.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    0.0" overnight. 32.0" on the season.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    1972-1973 was very similar to 2023-2024 in that respect, but obviously the latter, modern version was much warmer.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting....
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice. All rain in Meh-thuen.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    22.6
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think my area will decline any time soon, but I do think its turning more feast or famine.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think SSW have some unique subtelties in their own right....perhaps some manifest a bit differently or less/more in the AO index itself for reasons not entirely understood, but I am inclined to say this had some impact....sure, there is some ambiguity, but unlike the February bottom-up deal, this one seems to have downwelled, more or less.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know, just being a d1ck.
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