Can already see it this year...one west on 12/2, north last one, even though I got the white xmas, and now southwest...every direction. Next one rainer (north)...
I'll be lucky to get 2", but ignore the NAM with respect to WAA at your own peril...no, it's not a SWFE per se, but you're still advecting a warm layer over top of a cold air mass.
You were due to get boned...especially relative to my area. We usually run neck-and-neck, but you have throttled me past couple of seasons, and to start this one.