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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, if the nascent mid level lows are far enough south, sure....just going by the position on those ensemble products neat the BM. I would have to assume the mid level lows would be far enough north to impact most of the area.
  2. I think it depends on whether it develops at all in the mid levels prior to passing by...if not, then probably overdone.
  3. I could see a low-end warning if everything broke right.
  4. It's not ideal, but correctable with ease at this range, especially given the sensitivity to subtle changes that we are seeing in guidance as a result of the phase on the fly.
  5. EURO and EURO AI focus on SE areas, GEFS mostly OTS, and GEPS develops a bit too late, but decent SOP.
  6. That would probably be a bit better than implied across my area, over to @HIPPYVALLEY in Greenfield due to some modest mid level banding.
  7. Jesus, it's brutal in here....give it until 12z tomorrow before cancelling. We have an uber-fast flow with two tiny parcels of energy from the arctic phasing while diving SE at break-neck speeds...won't be resolved until late week.
  8. It's the new paradigm, and the cure for pyscho-babble.
  9. I mean, sometimes I ultimately need to bail...happens, but we aren't there yet IMHO.
  10. I said I thought a storm was coming mid month, he replied that I always say that...do the math.
  11. Which is fine...whatever...just didn't see why I got called essentially a hype-artist...don't feel that is the case.
  12. Not you...the northeast weather alerts guy you referenced.
  13. I thought @CT Rain's video was reasonable....basically a compromise of the GEM and EURO solutions favored, which should yield some snow, but certainly no blockbuster.
  14. My snowfall numbers look a lot like the 1987-1988 to 1991-1992 period.
  15. It's too early to cash in your advance defense mechanism salvage.
  16. I don't think we are there yet.....examples have been mentioned citing great months of December that hadn't even really gotten started yet.
  17. I think there will be a break, and perhaps a protracted one at that, but I don't see an early end to winter.
  18. I didn't even look. I'm not cancelling the threat...just speaking theoretically.
  19. Most of us do that. Not like I get pumped for a CT special.
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